TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44d…935cbacked No77c3,383$2,601 inWon+$782.055261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No77c2,479$1,906 inWon+$572.5883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes23c1,298$300 inLost-$3003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes23c1,087$250 inLost-$2507034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No78c530.99$412 inWon+$119.321877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No77c439.33$340 inWon+$98.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa2…ef19backed Yes23c435.37$100 inLost-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost-$1008130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost-$10018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f0…4be4backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ce…5975backed Yes23c417.39$96 inLost-$96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8911…8a41backed Yes26c254.65$65 inLost-$65.211010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid+263.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd9…cb54backed Yes25c250$63 inLost-$62.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0f…f4e1backed No75c250$188 inWon+$62.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes23c220$51 inLost-$50.555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2be…0dd3backed Yes23c206.52$47 inLost-$47.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes22c200$44 inLost-$4459453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes24c200$48 inLost-$481838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes23c200$46 inLost-$46944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No74c154.65$114 inWon+$40.213852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes9c139.3$12 inLost-$12.065044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No76c122.92$93 inWon+$29.541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes23c108.79$25 inLost-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost-$255238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b7…ece2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost-$233237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No75c100$75 inWon+$2510346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d7…8b52backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154a…86b0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes24c50$12 inLost-$1237556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.