TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b2c…dac5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
550
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT42348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 423 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$814.69
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.36
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Spurs (-21.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+332.9%+$61.52
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+83%+$69.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$323.83
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$256
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.76
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$136.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$36.2
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$153.97
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.5
Showing 25 of 423 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT6070%42 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.52
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.2
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$86.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$183.56
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.49
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.62
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$279.05
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+89%+$306.59
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$141.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.28
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.76
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.27
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.47
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.45
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$410.35
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+98%+$576.36
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.71
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.79
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-14.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-15.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
Winthrop Eagles vs. High Point Panthersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.52
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-6.5)backed UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.87
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$271.22
USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37.7%+$229.07
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+97%+$192.42
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.45
Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.93
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked Kenneth Walker III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First Touchdownbacked Jaxon Smith-Njigba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$438.6
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$66
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+98.7%+$149
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+73.6%+$16.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+116.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$34.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.