NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638ae3875b24f63119cef2cfbaf5ced44c552b1f5d2c0fce5634df80950760a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 2c | 11,300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 65c | 5,070$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.98 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 69c | 3,624$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.82 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 37c | 3,180$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 63c | 2,551$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 76c | 2,179$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 2,010$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.35 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 37c | 1,828$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 1,388$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.09 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 1,024$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 28c | 1,008$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.16 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 35c | 1,004$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 38c | 979.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Under | 37c | 933.38$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 65c | 918.42$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.42 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 63c | 894.13$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 63c | 882.75$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.75 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 865.86$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 63c | 832.52$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 34c | 828.73$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 811.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 799.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 38c | 759.5$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 647.82$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…b009backed Over | 65c | 544.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 65c | 389$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 368.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 38c | 327.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 63c | 315.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Over | 63c | 304.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 38c | 298.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Over | 63c | 282.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 63c | 262.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 67c | 261.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 68c | 261$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 257.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Over | 63c | 252.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 207.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 60c | 202.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Over | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…60e6backed Over | 63c | 158.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…9825backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Over | 63c | 158.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 70c | 143.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Over | 63c | 106.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 63c | 105.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Over | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 65c | 64.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 63c | 63.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…9a7fbacked Under | 39c | 54.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed Under | 39c | 46.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 63c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…64e6backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 38c | 39.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 76c | 38.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 76c | 29.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…0778backed Over | 63c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…e918backed Over | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…39acbacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 63c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…8665backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.