NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8c321e51cd6c15309f865e4beb32c525dc9a8e1849c41f5a84e99685c81ed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $740,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $744,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 49c | 175,029$86,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,299.13 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 123,757$61,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,645.67 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 51c | 92,546$46,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,772.16 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 49c | 68,603$33,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,413.08 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 52c | 60,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,000 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 49c | 59,985$29,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,319.88 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 52c | 49,752$25,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,881.12 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Thunder | 48c | 41,021$19,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,331.05 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 50c | 35,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Thunder | 53c | 31,001$16,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,570.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Spurs | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs | 50c | 23,333$11,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,665.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Spurs | 49c | 21,221$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.19 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 51c | 19,207$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,495.97 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 14,731$7,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,254.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 51c | 11,583$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.24 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Spurs | 51c | 10,200$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 52c | 10,200$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Thunder | 53c | 9,526$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.42 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 49c | 9,316$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.58 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Thunder | 54c | 8,632$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,453$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,800$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 49c | 6,684$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.24 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Thunder | 53c | 6,226$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Thunder | 49c | 6,198$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.16 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.46 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Spurs | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 50c | 4,673$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Thunder | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,500$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.49 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,466$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 52c | 3,401$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.43 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 51c | 3,238$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.17 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 52c | 3,201$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.46 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Thunder | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Spurs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs | 48c | 2,972$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Spurs | 38c | 2,640$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder | 50c | 2,087$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.43 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Spurs | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…441dbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,968$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.7 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 52c | 1,964$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Spurs | 48c | 1,933$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,858$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 48c | 1,605$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.4 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 62c | 1,572$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.01 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,542$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.05 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.2 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Spurs | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.88 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,294$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.32 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,254$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.46 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Spurs | 41c | 1,234$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 49c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Spurs | 48c | 1,194$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Thunder | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.27 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 43c | 1,123$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.04 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,080$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Spurs | 48c | 1,069$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,051$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 41c | 1,046$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Spurs | 51c | 978.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder | 42c | 926.19$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Spurs | 8c | 904.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Thunder | 52c | 899.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 64c | 889.48$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.11 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Thunder | 50c | 855$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.96 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 50c | 831.86$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.93 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs | 47c | 806.11$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.09 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Spurs | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 50c | 790.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Spurs | 51c | 784.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 51c | 739.17$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.44 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 35c | 715.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.