NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3e4be02ec36739a43e48d948b675fa5d3205dbc523abff0bd4ddccdd41cc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 54c | 112,177$60,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,332.16 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 46c | 99,215$45,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,576.29 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 55c | 47,675$26,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,227.82 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 51c | 30,643$15,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,727.74 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Thunder | 48c | 28,402$13,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,768.92 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs | 52c | 18,923$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.96 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 18,889$8,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,075.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 46c | 17,980$8,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,691.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…902cbacked Thunder | 49c | 16,290$7,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 43c | 11,532$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Spurs | 52c | 10,791$5,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 48c | 9,776$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.52 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Thunder | 45c | 9,674$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.47 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Spurs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Spurs | 52c | 7,533$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.31 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.03 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 45c | 4,444$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.95 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Thunder | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…69c9backed Spurs | 54c | 3,870$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,860$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.18 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 49c | 3,531$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.61 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.97 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 51c | 3,406$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.3 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,333$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 53c | 3,312$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.63 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 48c | 3,301$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.51 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.97 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 74c | 3,291$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.36 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Thunder | 49c | 3,198$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.96 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 46c | 2,800$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.93 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed Spurs | 43c | 2,630$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 48c | 2,024$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.52 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Thunder | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Spurs | 52c | 1,994$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Spurs | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,644$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.08 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,570$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.96 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Thunder | 48c | 1,550$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Spurs | 52c | 1,542$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.84 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 52c | 1,340$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.8 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 54c | 1,267$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.12 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 54c | 1,267$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.12 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Thunder | 49c | 1,258$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.56 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,220$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…da2ebacked Spurs | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 47c | 1,140$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.38 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 43c | 1,108$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.8 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Spurs | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.98 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 66c | 1,099$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,076$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.21 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Thunder | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.03 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 48c | 999.93$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Thunder | 49c | 986.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 51c | 980.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…0994backed Spurs | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Spurs | 7c | 943.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Spurs | 52c | 938.46$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 52c | 843$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Spurs | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Spurs | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…132bbacked Spurs | 52c | 676.92$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed Spurs | 52c | 663.55$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 52c | 614.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.57 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 46c | 596.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Spurs | 55c | 518.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 53c | 510$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 45c | 510$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 50c | 499.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…0afabacked Spurs | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…036dbacked Spurs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Spurs | 53c | 467.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs | 52c | 459.62$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 46c | 436.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Thunder | 46c | 423.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Spurs | 56c | 395.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spurs | 52c | 393.06$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 54c | 369.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 65c | 364.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 51c | 334.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 16c | 331.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Spurs | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Thunder | 70c | 305.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 47c | 291$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Spurs | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Thunder | 46c | 278.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 48c | 268.34$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.