TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x051d…1992

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
378
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spursbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawksbacked Atlanta Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rocketsbacked Houston Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celticsbacked Sacramento Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucksbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.47
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Oklahoma City Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$880
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$176
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$138.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$244.12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT8213.4%11 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Will 3DMAX Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48.67
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Iowa Stormboar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winnerbacked Iowa Stormboar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winnerbacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.08
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+527%+$672.4
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+395.2%+$510.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$90.91
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.4
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.4
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$71.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$67.7
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.07
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.23
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$71.23
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$52.14
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+82%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$858.04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$2,129.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$4,514.28
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,948.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61%+$302.34
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$25.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.29
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.58
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$149.6
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$60.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Valorant: sleepers vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$252.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$110.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.