Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 89,272$45,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,323.68 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed OG | 48c | 72,000$34,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,291.88 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 49c | 30,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 24,088$12,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,985.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 46c | 21,390$9,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,903.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 20,816$13,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.07 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked OG | 46c | 20,195$9,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,192.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 17,491$10,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.25 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 16,498$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,579.06 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 50c | 15,135$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,593.94 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 47c | 11,895$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.71 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 42c | 11,279$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.26 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed OG | 46c | 9,400$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed OG | 47c | 9,134$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.98 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 8,576$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 8,500$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.76 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 8,050$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.15 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed OG | 36c | 7,543$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 7,238$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.99 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 7,078$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.41 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 6,831$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.89 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 6,651$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.87 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked OG | 47c | 6,319$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.22 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked OG | 50c | 6,038$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed OG | 52c | 5,992$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.23 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 5,919$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.05 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 5,918$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.36 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 48c | 5,895$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.63 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 5,626$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 5,504$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.45 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 5,357$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.54 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed OG | 1c | 5,200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 43c | 5,138$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.66 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed OG | 29c | 5,000$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked OG | 47c | 4,969$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 25c | 4,655$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.65 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 57c | 4,473$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.9 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed OG | 46c | 4,389$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed OG | 44c | 4,300$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 4,226$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.22 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked OG | 53c | 4,150$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.48 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 4,011$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.18 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 3,927$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 3,891$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.2 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 3,882$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.11 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 3,860$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.69 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed OG | 50c | 3,846$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,755$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 3,533$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.64 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 3,442$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.81 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 48c | 3,278$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.72 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 3,259$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.11 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 50c | 3,207$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.58 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked OG | 58c | 3,190$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.27 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 42c | 3,092$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.07 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed OG | 49c | 3,060$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.56 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed OG | 29c | 3,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed OG | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed OG | 38c | 2,775$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.44 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked OG | 40c | 2,638$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.26 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 47c | 2,603$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.46 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 2,580$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.06 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 2,322$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.42 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed OG | 8c | 2,265$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 42c | 2,115$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.41 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 47c | 2,033$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.74 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked OG | 47c | 2,005$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.25 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.94 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,865$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.19 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,764$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.92 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed OG | 54c | 1,757$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.13 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,750$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.06 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed OG | 28c | 1,686$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.27 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked OG | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed OG | 44c | 1,640$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 46c | 1,633$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.49 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 46c | 1,624$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.9 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked OG | 44c | 1,610$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.6 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked OG | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed OG | 36c | 1,588$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed OG | 62c | 1,578$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.32 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG | 41c | 1,553$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.57 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked OG | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 45c | 1,451$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked OG | 49c | 1,446$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 43c | 1,441$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.26 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed OG | 53c | 1,440$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.17 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 34c | 1,427$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,415$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.31 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…dfdfbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 46c | 1,328$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.82 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.