Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892ecd00466ee1787b8f773d3064758ae1be80d7e4c07cc1750df3dc42238a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 54,315$21,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,483.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 34,980$15,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,588.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 61c | 28,443$17,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,365.77 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 37c | 25,290$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,372.47 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 18,000$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,778.12 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 59c | 17,700$10,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,498.67 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked OG | 34c | 17,052$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.6 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 14,567$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137.03 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 14,414$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,563.28 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 14,049$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 59c | 11,999$7,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,112.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 60c | 11,670$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 54c | 10,882$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.49 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 60c | 10,413$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279.04 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed OG | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 9,440$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.49 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed OG | 28c | 6,849$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 6,408$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.45 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 62c | 6,224$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 29c | 5,912$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.9 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 5,192$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.65 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked OG | 48c | 5,164$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.43 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed OG | 45c | 4,554$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.41 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 34c | 4,244$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.61 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 49c | 4,215$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.96 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 4,014$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 10c | 3,248$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 6c | 3,216$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 45c | 3,180$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.53 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked OG | 58c | 3,080$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.81 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.4 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.72 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 28c | 2,525$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.54 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 2,477$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.58 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 65c | 2,473$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.47 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 55c | 2,409$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.1 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed OG | 78c | 2,381$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.28 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked OG | 5c | 2,341$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 64c | 2,336$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.03 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked OG | 10c | 2,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…dfdfbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,175$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 2,113$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.43 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,010$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.4 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OG | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked OG | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 38c | 1,975$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.98 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,886$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.35 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,881$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.35 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed OG | 78c | 1,770$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.81 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 64c | 1,668$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,654$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,649$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed OG | 59c | 1,611$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed OG | 39c | 1,608$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked OG | 12c | 1,540$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.23 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 26c | 1,482$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,461$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 1,451$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,451$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.92 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,440$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed OG | 72c | 1,393$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 54c | 1,316$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.64 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 60c | 1,300$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.16 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed OG | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked OG | 10c | 1,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed OG | 52c | 1,161$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,130$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.63 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed OG | 57c | 1,127$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.49 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked OG | 26c | 1,119$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,112$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.59 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 1,083$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed OG | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked OG | 6c | 1,070$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,064$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.78 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked OG | 70c | 1,045$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.2 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,038$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.45 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,028$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.08 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed OG | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 53c | 1,014$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.05 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed OG | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked OG | 60c | 985.53$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.32 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed OG | 49c | 971.41$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.04 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed OG | 18c | 924.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed OG | 80c | 914.84$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.11 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 39c | 910.76$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed OG | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 50c | 856$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.