TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b9a…a06b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,175
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 26, 2026, EDT70423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 704 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+1,248.7%+$2,807.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winnerbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winnerbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,599.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$855.17
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,819.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
Showing 25 of 704 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT37811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 378 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,364.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.62
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.23
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.87
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.27
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.69
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,031
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.67
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.99
Showing 25 of 378 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$959.98
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.62
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.74
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$279.59
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.5
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.91
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.6
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$139.45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.82
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$1,069.99
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$280.81
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.33
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$223.5
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$310.4
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$87.74
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$16.17
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$356.42
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+124.5%+$22.74
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.97
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35.85
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+43.8%+$26.82
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.83
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+139.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.4
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$97.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.