Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f50fcd43ac38918536ca43754eceaccd0ef3cd6d1d860d718b52d9f988f418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf97e…0034backed Yes | 25c | 36,414$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,310.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1023…e2b4backed No | 0c | 28,551$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 56c | 27,875$15,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,747.87 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed No | 0c | 27,792$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 2c | 22,708$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…6aecbacked Yes | 77c | 12,738$9,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…a32fbacked Yes | 45c | 11,510$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…eecfbacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…1ae5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed No | 16c | 9,501$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…cae4backed Yes | 70c | 8,411$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed Yes | 74c | 6,878$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 2c | 6,625$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 69c | 6,178$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 33c | 6,062$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.6 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 46c | 5,515$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.55 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 61c | 5,317$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…1272backed Yes | 70c | 5,175$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 75c | 5,152$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…e24bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,530$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…17b5backed Yes | 47c | 4,523$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…1ffbbacked No | 26c | 4,338$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed No | 37c | 4,286$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed No | 75c | 4,201$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 18c | 4,149$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.59 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…a841backed No | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 55c | 3,798$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked No | 30c | 3,706$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,648$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4e…ce80backed Yes | 25c | 3,498$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 27c | 3,476$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,362$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.37 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 38c | 3,139$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…fb66backed No | 75c | 3,114$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed No | 14c | 3,112$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed No | 25c | 3,099$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +978.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 58c | 3,080$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.58 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 18c | 3,024$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.38 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…29e0backed No | 75c | 2,972$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 2,841$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.75 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 41c | 2,812$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.64 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…8cbebacked No | 53c | 2,811$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed No | 28c | 2,770$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.8 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,715$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 18c | 2,644$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 38c | 2,596$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.48 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked No | 74c | 2,425$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed No | 11c | 2,400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…32e3backed Yes | 42c | 2,353$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 12c | 2,343$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…0414backed No | 20c | 2,328$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…efa4backed No | 29c | 2,328$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…a136backed Yes | 77c | 2,270$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed No | 30c | 2,250$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…e38bbacked No | 47c | 2,240$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 41c | 2,240$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…7a9abacked Yes | 27c | 2,203$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…7a29backed No | 61c | 2,200$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 28c | 2,200$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked Yes | 72c | 2,169$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…55a4backed No | 44c | 2,150$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 61c | 2,100$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.46 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked No | 30c | 2,019$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…b459backed Yes | 25c | 2,016$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +305.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 79c | 2,001$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.18 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 1c | 1,981$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,912$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.32 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…456abacked No | 74c | 1,870$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…fee1backed Yes | 54c | 1,868$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…734cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,836$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed No | 11c | 1,784$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5df2backed No | 63c | 1,758$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…f20dbacked No | 73c | 1,712$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed Yes | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…2dd9backed No | 32c | 1,680$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4e39backed No | 39c | 1,618$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked No | 25c | 1,612$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.78 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…b721backed Yes | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…fbc2backed Yes | 65c | 1,548$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 71c | 1,547$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed No | 28c | 1,504$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…bf9dbacked No | 21c | 1,487$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…2efbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,476$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed No | 3c | 1,436$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed No | 74c | 1,427$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…9d91backed No | 67c | 1,393$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…583bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,392$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked No | 28c | 1,366$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,330$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.83 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…7464backed No | 76c | 1,327$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.7wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed No | 23c | 1,295$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.