TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ab…8145

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
313
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,535.57
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+445.1%+$672.74
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$639.67
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,364.84
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$2,095.95
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,904.81
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$117.59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,105.65
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$10,740.24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+283%+$6,090.67
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$34.13
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+291.5%+$451.9
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$27.91
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$435
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$1,619.48
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,597.07
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$635.08
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,592.24
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT8045%36 W · 44 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61%+$2,249.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,730.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8,323.37
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,864.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$49,638
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$7,355.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70,882Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+626.2%+$443,845.84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,349.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$390.81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$1,511.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$174.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$64.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$47.41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$25.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,808.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,987.43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$8,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,105.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.3
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+197.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$441.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$229.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$990
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.01
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+5,421.5%+$4,418.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$64.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$234.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,713.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,622.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,809.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,543Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$2,959.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,785.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$134.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.38
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.28
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Trump divorce in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.8
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.07
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.22
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$147
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.65
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31%+$158.95
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?backed Putin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.09
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$138.98
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72.84
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$192.25
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72,052Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+42%+$30,269.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+80.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$258.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,880
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$6.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40,570.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,643.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$2,108.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$255
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.94
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.36
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90,721.44
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$2,626.01
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$1,005.5
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.63
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$135.4
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+1,616.5%+$1,056.64
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.7
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$26.32
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$69.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-88.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$53.5
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+42.7%+$29.9
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$58
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$38.16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$130.17
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,029.92
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$304.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$113.25
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+392.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,314.7%+$7,470.07
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,624.06
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.45
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,416.59
Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$297.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.99
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.18
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.87
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.86
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+283.2%+$4,059.14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$72.42
Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$16.59
Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+28.1%+$22.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+208.4%+$353.06
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,076.31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$31.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$233.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$13.62
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11,047.35
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,780.66
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.01
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,500
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$615.36
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.76
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$121.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+381.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+381.1%+$1,291.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,903.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,254.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$2,112.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.