Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e44da63acf52f67bd2d370468c3ef297f064c50f660370151d6c8f08fd586d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,006,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,033,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,006,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 787 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 2c | 93,529$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.24 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 85,063$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.38 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 10c | 85,000$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,594.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 84,271$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.86 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 59,442$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.24 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 8c | 58,501$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…b75bbacked Yes | 10c | 57,827$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 2c | 46,711$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 6c | 44,710$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 7c | 42,267$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.66 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 3c | 38,996$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.75 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed Yes | 3c | 37,907$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 37,481$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.2 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 35,637$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 33,289$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.83 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 2c | 33,062$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 4c | 30,553$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.26 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 3c | 26,660$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 26,333$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.95 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…bf30backed Yes | 12c | 25,820$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…7162backed Yes | 6c | 24,332$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 23,988$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.07 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 11c | 21,651$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.19 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…7d75backed Yes | 6c | 21,408$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…451cbacked Yes | 6c | 21,179$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 5c | 21,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 4c | 20,725$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…b6c5backed Yes | 6c | 20,606$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.08 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 19,644$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…2944backed Yes | 1c | 19,231$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 1c | 18,742$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 2c | 17,028$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,793$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 16,687$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…da0ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,692$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 11c | 15,381$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…9371backed Yes | 6c | 13,472$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 12,694$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…66e6backed Yes | 2c | 12,610$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 12,400$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 6c | 12,300$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 11,600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,280$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.65 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,950$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,892$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…0161backed Yes | 5c | 10,688$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,316$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…356bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…fbf9backed Yes | 1c | 10,148$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…235bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…8f78backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…1e66backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7751backed Yes | 1c | 9,973$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,970$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…f464backed Yes | 5c | 9,934$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…859cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,887$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 1c | 9,683$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 6c | 9,555$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a7…f75abacked Yes | 4c | 9,430$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…4fd6backed Yes | 10c | 9,145$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 6c | 9,041$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 4c | 8,888$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…669cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,734$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…81e8backed Yes | 5c | 8,698$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 8,585$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…69c5backed Yes | 11c | 8,540$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,524$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…f9d5backed Yes | 4c | 8,406$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…6f18backed Yes | 2c | 8,322$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 8,273$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes | 4c | 8,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…0796backed Yes | 8c | 7,852$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…6759backed Yes | 1c | 7,622$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 7,457$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.24 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,432$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ad…0862backed Yes | 1c | 7,367$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,299$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.43 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…2094backed Yes | 14c | 7,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 8c | 7,276$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…5aa4backed Yes | 1c | 7,131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 5c | 7,054$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccb…fbbbbacked Yes | 9c | 6,704$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 6c | 6,583$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…2006backed Yes | 4c | 6,434$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…ef3dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,380$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…c7d4backed Yes | 2c | 6,293$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 11c | 6,279$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 9c | 6,242$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 6,213$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.42 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…f05dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,144$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,081$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…26dabacked Yes | 4c | 6,080$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…21eebacked Yes | 5c | 6,062$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…732abacked Yes | 6c | 5,998$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…9b67backed Yes | 9c | 5,640$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 5,521$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 5,445$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.