TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x453a…fdb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,057
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3986.8%27 W · 371 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 398 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+1,780.2%+$282.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+2,668.1%+$398.52
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Showing 25 of 398 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1995%10 W · 189 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+2,679.3%+$692.04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+2,231.9%+$291.92
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT664.5%3 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.28
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$34.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.16
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.67
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT486.3%3 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick6cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.96
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.93
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.79
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.2
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.15
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.78
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT446.8%3 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.88
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,977.8%+$571.05
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.89
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+1,705.1%+$233.31
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.42
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.25
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.42
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.34
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.63
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.33
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,830.2%+$239.3
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.83
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.06
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.23
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.73
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.03
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.21
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.02
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.24
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.54
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.26
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.89
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.19
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.77
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$139.14
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.15
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$186.49
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+2,526.4%+$419.94
Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,162.5%+$4,476.66
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$84.34
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+798.6%+$193.17
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.52
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.36
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$194.12
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$135.24
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$177.67
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$114.35
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38.06
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$122.48
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.7
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.89
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.83
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.16
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.49
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.56
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102.03
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$417.21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80.52
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$296.71
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250.91
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.11
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.72
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.44
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.91
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.54
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.07
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$247.86
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.94
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$109.94
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.15
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.94
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.36
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.42
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.4
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.34
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.37
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.73
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,812.8%+$3,422.85
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,871.7%+$1,086.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.87
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.47
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.34
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.84
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.6
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.62
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.97
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.89
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.84
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.06
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$337.71
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.51
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.95
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$442.95
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.55
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.96
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.42
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.73
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.48
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.35
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.4
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.35
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.38
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.69
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.88
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.69
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.49
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.18
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.96
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.07
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.22
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.19
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.31
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.72
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.73
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.86
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.69
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.91
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.17
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+61.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.72
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,356.2%+$224.78
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-85.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$11.75
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.78
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.29
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.79
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick3cpaid+171.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.