Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c49acf1da62df0eaba8c74a2c1c16c870b399edf533d26e05c09b4d150b04dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,499,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,621,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,499,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 4c | 199,599$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,222.6 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 3c | 197,233$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 3c | 35,111$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.9 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…8b52backed Yes | 3c | 32,966$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 2c | 29,879$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.27 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…2128backed Yes | 2c | 26,370$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 21,688$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.48 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 4c | 15,457$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 2c | 13,740$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 3c | 12,389$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 3c | 11,575$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,353$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.64 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 1c | 8,273$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 6c | 7,877$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 7,826$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4de…eb31backed Yes | 3c | 7,542$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…feb9backed Yes | 4c | 7,016$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.07 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 6,559$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,330$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 6,111$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 3c | 6,070$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 5,627$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.17 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,110$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…01febacked Yes | 2c | 4,823$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 4c | 4,678$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,317$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,314$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 3c | 4,109$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 4,055$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…31c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,756$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,566$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 3c | 3,517$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 3,332$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…dfd8backed Yes | 4c | 3,254$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 2c | 3,205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…943cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,178$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,036$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cb68backed Yes | 6c | 2,909$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…7873backed Yes | 1c | 2,434$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 2c | 2,053$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…59dbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ee…2f52backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,870$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…43bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,807$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…afd6backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,658$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,651$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,577$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…252ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,510$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,494$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b22backed Yes | 4c | 1,482$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 5c | 1,431$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…787fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…9430backed Yes | 2c | 1,382$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,366$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…9973backed Yes | 3c | 1,350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e5…bf91backed Yes | 3c | 1,322$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…dc28backed Yes | 2c | 1,182$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…3250backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…6ba4backed Yes | 2c | 1,118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…2da1backed Yes | 1c | 1,099$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…78eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…089ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…2faabacked Yes | 2c | 1,045$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,041$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…734cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed Yes | 3c | 970.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 949.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 2c | 921.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 3c | 904.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…0d18backed Yes | 2c | 873.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 3c | 795.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 4c | 794.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e939backed Yes | 3c | 778.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 760.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 3c | 755.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 3c | 745.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 743.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…10fbbacked Yes | 2c | 737.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed Yes | 2c | 733.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 2c | 710.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed Yes | 3c | 700.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…f596backed Yes | 3c | 624.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…0308backed Yes | 4c | 623.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7c…d3bdbacked Yes | 3c | 614.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 5c | 606.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…de22backed Yes | 3c | 598.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e69…11c3backed Yes | 2c | 575.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 573.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…a3a5backed Yes | 2c | 499.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.