TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fab…afd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royerbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$109.88
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Andre Ilaganbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.47
Abidjan 2: Robert Strombachs vs Florent Baxbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$484
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Husseybacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.91
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.97
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$208.64
Santa Cruz: Luis Guto Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.17
Santa Cruz: Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.3
Santa Cruz: Nicolas Villalon vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.93
Wuning 2: Omar Jasika vs Maximus Jonesbacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)backed Colorado Rapids SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Barcelonabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.