TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Hussey

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fajing Sunof Fajing Sun, Giles Hussey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9410…ffcdbacked Giles Hussey23c31,312$7,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,257.584124.4%10 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fajing Sun71c19,860$14,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,815.098,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Giles Hussey24c13,926$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Giles Hussey48c7,473$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.9348851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giles Hussey29c6,085$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Giles Hussey48c5,601$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.7771729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fajing Sun77c4,147$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.861,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fajing Sun65c3,965$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.694,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Fajing Sun68c3,584$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.864067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Giles Hussey36c3,321$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Giles Hussey46c3,216$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.4918159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fajing Sun62c2,897$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.543,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Fajing Sun73c2,535$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.931,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Fajing Sun64c2,210$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8741251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Giles Hussey40c1,830$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.7427931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e3…8f5fbacked Giles Hussey40c1,622$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Fajing Sun59c1,536$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0443750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fajing Sun63c1,520$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.532,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fajing Sun64c1,504$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.51,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Fajing Sun72c1,491$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.221,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fajing Sun54c1,323$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.81,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Fajing Sun61c1,146$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.853655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Giles Hussey40c1,035$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6835932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Giles Hussey51c889.24$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.5115248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Giles Hussey42c889.24$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4824547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Giles Hussey42c888.26$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.111,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Fajing Sun57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4652460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Giles Hussey42c774.65$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3558734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giles Hussey43c743.18$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5725342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Fajing Sun70c714.86$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.536554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Fajing Sun57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9729444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Fajing Sun49c678.58$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0836852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Giles Hussey32c658.53$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.584,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Giles Hussey29c627.26$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.911,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Giles Hussey13c608.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Giles Hussey20c547.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.71,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Fajing Sun75c545.69$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4256744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Fajing Sun58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7743449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Giles Hussey31c488.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.674,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Giles Hussey41c480.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.026,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Giles Hussey37c455.09$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.394353.5%23 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Giles Hussey41c427$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.077,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fajing Sun65c409.39$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fajing Sun75c398.7$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.681,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Giles Hussey43c385.35$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Giles Hussey35c380.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.810044%44 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Giles Hussey41c378.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.397357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Fajing Sun62c370.21$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5572132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Fajing Sun54c369.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7965952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Fajing Sun69c332.22$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.646150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Fajing Sun65c299.4$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4216063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Giles Hussey44c297.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.059,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Giles Hussey42c276.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8217348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Fajing Sun62c274.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6822465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…527abacked Giles Hussey5c272.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.362638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fajing Sun57c263.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.141,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Giles Hussey36c262.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2623949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Fajing Sun56c261.72$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.162,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Fajing Sun60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.64870.8%34 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfef2…492fbacked Giles Hussey39c216.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.372634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Fajing Sun54c216.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.424463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Giles Hussey45c214.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6923457.3%134 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Giles Hussey29c205.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6974346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Fajing Sun62c204.23$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6126457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Giles Hussey41c197.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7740048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Giles Hussey43c193.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.064443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Fajing Sun73c184.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8511959.7%71 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fajing Sun56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Giles Hussey38c171.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Giles Hussey32c164.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.793,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Giles Hussey36c158.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.296033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fajing Sun46c155.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6766…7820backed Giles Hussey23c144.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Giles Hussey15c142.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Fajing Sun70c140.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Fajing Sun72c138.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9229958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Fajing Sun56c137.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5315948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…afd6backed Fajing Sun55c137.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Giles Hussey19c135.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3826548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Giles Hussey41c126.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9157349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Giles Hussey41c117.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7618152.5%95 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Giles Hussey32c107.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9856817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4744…ea27backed Fajing Sun55c106.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.774148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fajing Sun54c105.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.374,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Fajing Sun63c105.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.341,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Fajing Sun49c104.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Fajing Sun60c101.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Giles Hussey34c101.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6446453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a48…ba21backed Fajing Sun77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233574.3%26 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Giles Hussey42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fajing Sun67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0962…da02backed Fajing Sun73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Fajing Sun71c96.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.094269%29 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Giles Hussey19c95.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.082532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed Fajing Sun75c92.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Fajing Sun59c90.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc953…01bfbacked Fajing Sun57c89.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.485442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Giles Hussey37c89.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7811743.6%51 W · 66 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Fajing Sun74c88.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Giles Hussey34c87.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.