TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80e8…dc9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 52 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ui-Sung Parkbacked Ui-Sung Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.3
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovicbacked Bekkhan Atlangeriev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$207.75
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.91
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$448.78
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fentybacked Andrew Fenty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.22
Rome: Dan Added vs Arthur Ferybacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.96
Shymkent: Mili Poljicak vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$185.14
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$174.07
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$145.72
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.7
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.9
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$96.39
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.06
Savannah: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.66
Madrid Open, Qualification: Ksenia Efremova vs Lulu Sunbacked Ksenia Efremova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.99
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$151.61
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$97.15
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.33
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.93
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$118.48
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$244.55
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.88
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$47.5
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$152.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.41
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.