TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalieva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elvina Kalievaof Anna Blinkova, Elvina Kalieva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Elvina Kalieva65c19,375$12,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,715.737,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elvina Kalieva60c11,584$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.816,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Anna Blinkova19c8,767$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.79,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ea1backed Anna Blinkova66c8,123$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Anna Blinkova67c7,642$5,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.0729241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Elvina Kalieva57c7,306$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.2233955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2258…0eecbacked Elvina Kalieva58c5,906$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.861457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Elvina Kalieva56c5,172$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.178554.1%46 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elvina Kalieva32c5,092$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.12,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d30…89ccbacked Anna Blinkova2c4,941$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6317450%87 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anna Blinkova44c3,979$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.2711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elvina Kalieva68c3,563$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.34,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Elvina Kalieva36c2,713$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.5427248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Anna Blinkova41c2,602$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4262061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Anna Blinkova27c2,285$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.496432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Anna Blinkova36c2,137$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.2845445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Anna Blinkova38c2,063$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.691,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Elvina Kalieva49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc20…6ee1backed Elvina Kalieva65c1,951$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.78988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Anna Blinkova56c1,693$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Anna Blinkova1c1,639$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.78260%0 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Anna Blinkova1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15280%0 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Anna Blinkova1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15270%0 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Anna Blinkova1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Anna Blinkova38c1,498$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3327846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Anna Blinkova51c1,461$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.224,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Anna Blinkova40c1,400$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Elvina Kalieva78c1,397$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.082,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Anna Blinkova43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Anna Blinkova33c1,378$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.011,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Anna Blinkova51c1,237$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.8825544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Anna Blinkova37c1,234$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.381,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Anna Blinkova44c1,225$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9440548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc953…01bfbacked Anna Blinkova52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5725442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Anna Blinkova49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7515950.3%80 W · 79 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Elvina Kalieva65c1,007$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.384067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Anna Blinkova43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4307444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Anna Blinkova44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Anna Blinkova1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Anna Blinkova2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Elvina Kalieva58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Elvina Kalieva77c996.23$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.084,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Elvina Kalieva56c973.6$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3832851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Anna Blinkova58c958.92$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.174,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Anna Blinkova49c853.45$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.193333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Elvina Kalieva41c774.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1659721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Anna Blinkova19c733.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.11,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Anna Blinkova38c724.85$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0633163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Anna Blinkova61c721.31$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9634136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Anna Blinkova45c693.23$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2856754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Anna Blinkova56c681.15$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Anna Blinkova26c680.97$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.938013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Anna Blinkova47c668.24$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Anna Blinkova62c663.51$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.615141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Anna Blinkova20c642.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5220844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Elvina Kalieva77c640.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2942558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…768cbacked Anna Blinkova72c638.62$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.962944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5b0…a72abacked Elvina Kalieva45c619.89$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.943935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Elvina Kalieva50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Anna Blinkova53c592.94$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.433,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Anna Blinkova38c578.57$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.471,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Elvina Kalieva71c571.8$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9715351%78 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Anna Blinkova16c569.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4427940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Anna Blinkova53c552$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5161062.8%383 W · 227 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Elvina Kalieva38c507.57$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.718651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Elvina Kalieva49c479.45$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.251,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Anna Blinkova43c478.1$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Anna Blinkova22c455.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8548214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Anna Blinkova44c450.76$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7418447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Anna Blinkova29c440.48$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2344527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Anna Blinkova51c440.4$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6160856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Anna Blinkova51c418.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.531,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Anna Blinkova45c412.85$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9555360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Anna Blinkova23c410.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elvina Kalieva60c397.67$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.229,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Elvina Kalieva70c393.53$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Anna Blinkova61c379.91$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.829754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Anna Blinkova16c379.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.351445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Elvina Kalieva59c379.52$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.752,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Anna Blinkova15c379.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0330844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Anna Blinkova44c372.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7836244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Anna Blinkova80c370.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.42060%12 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Elvina Kalieva49c370.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8658734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Anna Blinkova49c365.72$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Anna Blinkova46c359.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Anna Blinkova69c355.58$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3510571.4%75 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Anna Blinkova56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.728937.1%33 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Anna Blinkova57c339.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.91,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Anna Blinkova25c314.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8420327.1%55 W · 148 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Anna Blinkova63c311.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Anna Blinkova18c310.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0751236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Elvina Kalieva62c305.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.693,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Elvina Kalieva55c298$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Elvina Kalieva42c294.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.842944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Anna Blinkova63c293.34$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8564365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Elvina Kalieva33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8773350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Elvina Kalieva50c287.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.211,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8850backed Anna Blinkova25c286.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.636732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Elvina Kalieva54c281.63$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.315,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Anna Blinkova23c276.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1220043.5%87 W · 113 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.