TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf96d…20be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
484
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT48214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 482 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilaganbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$85.96
National Bank Open (Doubles): Marozsan/Medvedev vs Nys/Roger-Vasselinbacked Marozsan/Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+619.1%+$67.02
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Lui Maxtedbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Comino vs Bor Artnakbacked Lorenzo Comino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
ITF Tauste: Aryan Shah vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Aryan Shah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
ITF Landisville: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
ITF Hameenlinna: Laura Hietaranta vs Klara Veldmanbacked Klara Veldman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
ITF Roehampton: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
ITF Curtea de Arges: Gabriel Ghetu vs Filiberto Fumagallibacked Filiberto Fumagalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
ITF Tianjin: Matthew Dellavedova vs Suk Annbacked Suk Ann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.82
ITF Tauste: Andrea Colombo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Andrea Colombo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.77
ITF Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Marcus Waltersbacked Marcus Walters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.11
ITF Curtea de Arges: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Odysseas Geladarisbacked Odysseas Geladaris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osakabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.53
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
National Bank Open: Kayla Day vs Coco Gauffbacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+900%+$430.92
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Sheltonbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
National Bank Open: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.19
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.43
Showing 25 of 482 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$57.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.