Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a229b06046a4a30d9b5cd73fc6364f6b7cdc48efc33bfc6b24a2806aa93f30

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,451,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,539,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,451,862 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7921…bbc3backed Yes	0c	695,359$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.58	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes	0c	333,654$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes	12c	219,999$26,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,399.92	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes	10c	160,404$16,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,040.35	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	137,152$24,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,653.14	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes	11c	97,540$10,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,729.44	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	11c	90,909$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	20c	62,042$12,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,376.16	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	11c	53,373$5,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,882.05	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…66eabacked Yes	12c	41,667$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	12c	41,215$4,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,955.94	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	11c	40,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	11c	29,107$3,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.77	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	21c	28,571$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.91	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	11c	27,500$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.99	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes	11c	26,626$2,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,928.83	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes	12c	23,869$2,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,864.26	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	12c	20,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	79c	19,478$15,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,090.47	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	12c	18,416$2,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,183.25	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	11c	18,182$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…3526backed Yes	12c	17,500$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	12c	16,907$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.37	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950f…a521backed Yes	19c	15,329$2,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,912.58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes	10c	15,294$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.85	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	63	3.2%2 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	10cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes	12c	14,813$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.5	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes	13c	14,789$1,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850.97	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	80c	13,985$11,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,841.84	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Yes	11c	13,636$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	80c	13,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b6…347ebacked Yes	12c	12,875$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.01	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	1c	12,383$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.66	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae3…c3a5backed Yes	11c	11,703$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	18c	11,670$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.39	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes	11c	11,525$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	129	58.1%75 W · 54 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No	80c	10,953$8,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,194.82	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked Yes	22c	10,455$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+124.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd96a…eb9bbacked Yes	13c	9,468$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+455.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	11c	9,365$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.72	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No	55c	9,230$5,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,153.48	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	10c	8,906$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.37	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes	11c	8,874$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.1	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yes	12c	8,670$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.35	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	12c	8,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	11c	8,276$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.37	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	10c	8,073$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.3	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	12c	8,050$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.61	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xced3…10d1backed Yes	11c	7,800$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes	8c	7,638$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.27	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked Yes	11c	7,593$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.21	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x107d…647fbacked Yes	13c	7,424$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.16	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Yes	11c	7,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Yes	18c	7,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb118…251fbacked Yes	17c	6,606$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Yes	15c	6,546$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1821…968bbacked Yes	10c	6,170$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0680…76acbacked Yes	10c	6,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No	71c	6,000$4,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.98	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Yes	12c	5,927$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.29	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	17c	5,754$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.03	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a5a…9d93backed Yes	10c	5,567$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes	10c	5,550$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes	20c	5,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Yes	11c	5,455$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f8…a834backed Yes	11c	5,455$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	13c	5,250$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes	4c	5,233$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.32	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Yes	10c	5,026$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.38	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	142	26.8%38 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes	13c	4,778$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	12c	4,618$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.16	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes	11c	4,545$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	79c	4,471$3,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.57	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2b8…bf6abacked Yes	12c	4,458$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3167…8e76backed Yes	11c	4,414$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba9…ff6abacked Yes	11c	4,160$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.51	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Yes	11c	4,153$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes	13c	4,130$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.5	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	24c	4,031$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.25	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	11c	4,003$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.65	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5c…2c1dbacked Yes	12c	4,002$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf4…2c9cbacked Yes	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b8…eb69backed Yes	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Yes	5c	3,744$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes	12c	3,617$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes	14c	3,571$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.03	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Yes	22c	3,447$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.41	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes	20c	3,443$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.5	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?this page
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event