TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0547…9926

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
377
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT21443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 214 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$3,221.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$721.07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.89
France to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$922
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$574.7
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$843.32
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 214 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.85
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+91.2%+$64.44
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+468.3%+$4,776.89
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+64%+$255.02
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-84.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.2%+$326.83
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$584.59
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,089.24
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$100
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$80
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$327.1
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$200
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$72.76
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$208
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$427.09
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$75
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+32.6%+$396.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+151.3%+$121.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.6%+$217.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.7%+$238.34
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$294.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+212.5%+$127.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+57.3%+$407.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+77.1%+$84.76
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+209.4%+$535.62
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$1,309.98
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$929
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,404.35
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,176.55
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+79.9%+$79.94
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$3,434
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+244.2%+$732.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+124.7%+$124.67
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+154.2%+$462.61
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+46.4%+$46.43
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+95.5%+$191.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+681.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+681.3%+$272.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+149.3%+$149.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pershing Square IPO in 2024? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$163.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$126.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$71.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$181.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.