Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31956675172dc796c5f458425b9a11eb8179c6ce128e393535c0485871fea45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,718,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,522,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,718,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 168,189$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.02 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 22c | 101,689$22,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,644.49 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 35c | 60,647$21,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,344.34 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 35c | 59,988$20,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,895.41 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 7c | 57,360$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.74 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…b902backed Yes | 1c | 48,987$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 23c | 47,112$10,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,761.05 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 50c | 45,548$22,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,872.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…74debacked Yes | 6c | 42,541$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…299cbacked Yes | 0c | 41,245$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 40,422$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 23c | 37,478$8,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,521.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 7c | 36,391$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.9 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 58c | 33,409$19,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,154.53 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 26c | 29,939$7,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,890.1 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 62c | 29,812$18,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,392.13 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed Yes | 4c | 26,849$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked No | 74c | 25,120$18,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 24,527$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…b7b0backed Yes | 2c | 23,739$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 60c | 23,696$14,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,325.35 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 16c | 21,481$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.67 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 21,294$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.3 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 36c | 20,128$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.56 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.96 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…7ebfbacked Yes | 11c | 19,589$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 54c | 18,058$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,324.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 62c | 17,916$11,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,320$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 2c | 16,379$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 4c | 16,080$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.45 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 16,060$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.3 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 29c | 15,634$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,068.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 5c | 15,530$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.02 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 31c | 15,278$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,576.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 7c | 15,001$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 66c | 14,868$9,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,858.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 44c | 14,699$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 40c | 14,504$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.4 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed No | 70c | 14,307$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 52c | 13,667$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed No | 62c | 13,143$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Yes | 5c | 13,027$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 13,024$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.83 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,932$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 59c | 11,981$7,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…ddc7backed Yes | 1c | 11,748$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 11,257$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 22c | 11,213$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.1 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 11,003$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.64 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…673cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,081$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 40c | 10,000$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 19c | 9,599$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.04 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…0fbcbacked Yes | 13c | 9,508$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.62 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 9c | 8,896$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…f3e5backed No | 46c | 8,652$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…950fbacked Yes | 12c | 8,621$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 21c | 8,452$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.43 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ea…7ec5backed Yes | 1c | 8,430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 8,282$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.35 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes | 22c | 8,216$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 9c | 8,061$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.57 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 74c | 7,935$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 37c | 7,876$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.25 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 4c | 7,856$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…accebacked Yes | 1c | 7,657$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…389dbacked Yes | 45c | 7,482$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Yes | 17c | 7,470$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…ef81backed Yes | 28c | 7,260$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 70c | 7,187$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.98 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 13c | 7,167$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.92 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…b7e3backed No | 80c | 6,853$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 6c | 6,665$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 26c | 6,515$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 43c | 6,426$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.75 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 10c | 6,294$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.37per pick | 36cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 28c | 5,875$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 10c | 5,702$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.65 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…6c58backed Yes | 12c | 5,678$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.32 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 5,674$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…c4a4backed Yes | 4c | 5,650$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes | 76c | 5,636$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,518$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…4f01backed Yes | 24c | 5,495$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,478$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…fca5backed Yes | 2c | 5,400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…412ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,365$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…9fe5backed Yes | 4c | 5,322$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 28c | 5,187$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Yes | 62c | 5,003$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 4,957$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…266bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,715$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 15c | 4,642$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 36c | 4,561$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…b4bbbacked No | 77c | 4,406$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…55c3backed Yes | 24c | 4,114$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a46…40fbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,050$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.