Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b81240bc028d9b189df4569b1b85aabc086e8a936596490eca41fd2cc705bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,745,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,926,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,745,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 5c | 144,000$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.99 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 67,947$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.57 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 36,796$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.47 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 5c | 35,117$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 3c | 32,298$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.05 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,397$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.78 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 29,849$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 28,011$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,826$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 1c | 18,414$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 16,318$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,149$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87e2backed Yes | 2c | 13,409$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…353abacked Yes | 4c | 12,622$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 8c | 12,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…cc30backed Yes | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…957cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,788$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…c08dbacked Yes | 3c | 10,475$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…80bbbacked Yes | 5c | 10,135$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…9f82backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,586$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…b4edbacked Yes | 3c | 8,879$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…00babacked Yes | 8c | 8,250$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,528$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,420$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 5,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 4c | 5,485$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 2c | 5,276$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Yes | 4c | 5,078$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…5ca4backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 4,944$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…4f37backed Yes | 0c | 4,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,268$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…3802backed Yes | 5c | 3,264$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…6d89backed Yes | 4c | 3,253$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…85a5backed Yes | 2c | 3,248$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…d86fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,235$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…df8cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,989$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…f482backed Yes | 4c | 2,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 4c | 2,558$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…e11dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 1c | 2,430$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…c7a7backed Yes | 5c | 2,378$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 5c | 2,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3867…ae73backed Yes | 3c | 1,934$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…1079backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…7670backed Yes | 6c | 1,660$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 3c | 1,565$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 5c | 1,564$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…1d21backed Yes | 7c | 1,561$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46b…c79abacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,421$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 3c | 1,402$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…e0f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,372$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…f98ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…1d4abacked Yes | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…0614backed Yes | 2c | 1,269$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,254$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…c3fbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 1,198$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…d296backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,101$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…60bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c0e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,042$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…f044backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…1905backed Yes | 2c | 999.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…7d00backed Yes | 2c | 984.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…18c3backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…819bbacked Yes | 3c | 900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b6…0131backed Yes | 2c | 880$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Yes | 3c | 838.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 2c | 833.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…bd68backed Yes | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…ee86backed Yes | 3c | 800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…97cdbacked Yes | 2c | 797.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…be7cbacked Yes | 2c | 780$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 1c | 758.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…dc21backed Yes | 3c | 756.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ea9ebacked Yes | 2c | 707.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a199backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…797cbacked Yes | 4c | 699.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5e…27debacked Yes | 5c | 695.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…f673backed Yes | 6c | 648.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.