Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4318f8d1bf6ae35386b0614dc1528731d3f5ea27ecdc54fa53ff8e4f94c291b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,501,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,120,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,501,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	1c	80,715$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.92	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	2c	57,009$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.78	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2007…e485backed Yes	1c	53,182$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes	5c	50,223$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.29	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes	12c	44,652$5,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,458.4	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes	10c	41,302$4,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,215.31	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	1c	37,145$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.68	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes	4c	34,469$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,407.91	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	-50%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Yes	11c	32,945$3,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,565.58	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	4c	32,617$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.81	183	15.3%28 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf2…0300backed Yes	16c	31,636$5,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,152.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	30,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes	5c	29,578$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.59	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	24,103$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.01	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	6c	22,363$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.05	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes	3c	20,313$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.56	102	4.9%5 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…0ec7backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	1.9%1 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-97.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	3c	19,600$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	83	2.4%2 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeca…09c7backed Yes	1c	19,589$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.55	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes	1c	18,837$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.87	86	34.9%30 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e07…efe0backed Yes	3c	18,426$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6824…f6e6backed Yes	10c	16,642$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.94	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+84%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	13c	15,655$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.04	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4599…d638backed Yes	17c	15,096$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807e…50d6backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9768…f983backed Yes	1c	14,642$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…d6b9backed Yes	20c	14,613$2,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,920	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes	3c	14,611$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.11	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…96babacked Yes	3c	14,567$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.96	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	1c	13,758$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd904…137bbacked Yes	30c	13,353$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes	3c	12,347$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes	15c	12,181$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	14c	11,956$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,621.84	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes	2c	11,808$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.05	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes	11c	10,418$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.5	120	12.5%15 W · 105 L	-8.9wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes	3c	9,970$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.4	99	13.1%13 W · 86 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b9…b319backed Yes	16c	8,393$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	8,260$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.9	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes	11c	8,133$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.96	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes	7c	7,846$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.36	64	25%16 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a57…6d63backed Yes	1c	7,600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes	15c	7,226$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.86	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	14c	7,125$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.44	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345e…6bc7backed Yes	15c	6,843$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.32	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…c08dbacked Yes	2c	6,642$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6583…9b6bbacked Yes	4c	6,369$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…4064backed Yes	1c	6,308$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	172	31.4%54 W · 118 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes	0c	6,200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	107	0%0 W · 107 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	4c	6,076$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.31	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…c06fbacked Yes	13c	6,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes	10c	5,923$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.29	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+15.1wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x90b5…d709backed Yes	1c	5,864$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee78…e83abacked Yes	18c	5,597$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…74b2backed Yes	17c	5,584$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes	10c	5,500$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…5b2bbacked Yes	2c	5,412$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes	15c	5,300$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a78…b918backed Yes	11c	5,281$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes	14c	5,200$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.41	157	54.8%86 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c52…2c09backed Yes	12c	5,117$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes	18c	5,084$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.58	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe590…b056backed Yes	2c	5,051$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes	16c	4,999$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.87	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes	5c	4,967$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.4	43	2.3%1 W · 42 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	15cpaid	-96.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes	22c	4,795$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	2c	4,780$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Yes	8c	4,545$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes	8c	4,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	64	7.8%5 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	48c	4,436$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.96	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x707e…1960backed Yes	18c	4,358$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.48	225	50.2%113 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No	72c	4,302$3,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.56	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x711c…8495backed Yes	7c	4,266$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Yes	12c	4,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09b…78e9backed Yes	48c	4,170$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes	15c	4,070$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes	17c	4,059$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd17…d296backed Yes	12c	4,028$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.41	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576f…0e17backed No	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes	16c	4,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfd…6e4abacked No	68c	4,000$2,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	15c	3,996$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c60…731ebacked No	70c	3,795$2,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e2…9631backed Yes	3c	3,662$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	2c	3,645$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.81	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…132abacked Yes	11c	3,400$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+120.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e59…ab31backed Yes	8c	3,369$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	16cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84c6…dc30backed Yes	12c	3,358$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb36a…1f90backed Yes	3c	3,302$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	11c	3,296$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.88	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…c734backed Yes	4c	3,126$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.93	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes	20c	3,061$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	22cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bbd…3bc0backed Yes	3c	3,030$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	76	19.7%15 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Yes	19c	3,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	3c	2,872$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd749…12cabacked Yes	18c	2,785$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+118.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee25…6389backed Yes	4c	2,676$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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