Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0248bcacfbef172a6ebe7ab8428b5de9ab1d8a8527c85e1126fcf9ccfff0195e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,629,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,745,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 5c | 106,831$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…7298backed Yes | 17c | 78,930$13,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,529.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 28,528$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.67 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 24,246$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 20,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 18,155$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 4c | 16,947$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed Yes | 2c | 15,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 7c | 15,079$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.61 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 14,731$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 3c | 14,671$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 14,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…f2f3backed Yes | 8c | 13,113$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…6811backed Yes | 3c | 10,567$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…61b4backed Yes | 3c | 10,100$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…0393backed Yes | 2c | 9,634$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…9785backed Yes | 3c | 8,888$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 4c | 8,200$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…0eebbacked Yes | 8c | 7,854$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…fa10backed Yes | 4c | 7,610$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 7,570$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,530$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…7f98backed Yes | 3c | 7,521$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…7005backed Yes | 3c | 7,277$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 7c | 7,010$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…ce65backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…aadfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,408$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 3c | 6,263$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…dd5fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…e23abacked Yes | 2c | 6,163$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 1c | 6,027$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…9f48backed Yes | 1c | 6,008$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 8c | 5,949$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.23 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…6b91backed Yes | 15c | 5,653$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…f6ccbacked Yes | 4c | 5,558$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 11c | 5,540$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 10c | 5,414$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.39 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…bdf4backed Yes | 3c | 5,323$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,243$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…a361backed Yes | 5c | 5,107$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…9210backed Yes | 1c | 5,018$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…becebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…1bb6backed Yes | 15c | 4,740$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 5c | 4,722$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…0921backed Yes | 2c | 4,721$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Yes | 3c | 4,522$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5578backed Yes | 2c | 4,061$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 1c | 3,834$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…0aa4backed Yes | 1c | 3,602$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…e56abacked Yes | 2c | 3,548$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,365$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6877…de8abacked Yes | 3c | 3,331$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…4f07backed Yes | 2c | 3,320$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,316$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 5c | 3,247$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…024fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,202$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 3c | 3,182$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 13c | 3,054$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,920$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 4c | 2,865$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,823$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,822$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 12c | 2,521$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac0…4d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,473$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…46abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…0908backed Yes | 4c | 2,295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 7c | 2,200$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…3647backed Yes | 9c | 2,082$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,047$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 2c | 1,988$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…daf6backed Yes | 4c | 1,927$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…5218backed Yes | 10c | 1,786$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,773$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b5…0025backed Yes | 4c | 1,660$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…5676backed Yes | 3c | 1,647$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…3970backed Yes | 4c | 1,572$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30c…614cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,569$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…9571backed Yes | 4c | 1,458$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…8f31backed Yes | 7c | 1,451$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,407$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…eb5dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,371$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 2c | 1,324$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,269$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,238$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,190$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…26a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.