TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2b5…f72c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.5%+$11.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.7%+$78.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+54.7%+$273.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$70.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+109.2%+$546.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+30.9%+$247.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+67.5%+$337.56
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,362.9
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.6%+$493.58
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.6%+$576.06
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.4%+$93.53
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+400%+$120
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+277.5%+$554.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+153.4%+$613.55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$76.03
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$589.43
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.54
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+83.5%+$811.27
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,245
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,227.75
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,068.05
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$491
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+228.3%+$159.66
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$40.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.75
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+263.8%+$527.51
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+60.3%+$301.63
Will Portugal vs. Hungary end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+582.9%+$174.87
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,620
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.78
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+173.7%+$521.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$276.19
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+77.3%+$351.98
Will Solana dip to $130 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+110%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$369.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.