Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ae72ecea68142496d891d6b74c3ea7069e8ac7b066542298691b43d74da891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,149,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,067,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,149,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 78c | 143,930$112,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,254.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 68c | 117,947$80,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,940.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…4500backed Yes | 20c | 98,800$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 21c | 89,402$18,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,688.11 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 22c | 74,886$16,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,219.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 19c | 70,733$13,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,172.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 77c | 49,767$38,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 79c | 46,461$36,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,927.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 40c | 43,824$17,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,588.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 11c | 41,537$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.06 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 20c | 35,010$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 57c | 33,635$19,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,042.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 30,504$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.69 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 28c | 28,227$7,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,983.76 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed Yes | 46c | 24,175$11,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,224.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 11c | 22,898$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.39 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 54c | 21,946$11,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 20,343$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.12 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…5cf7backed No | 79c | 20,332$16,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 13c | 19,999$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 30c | 19,852$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 14c | 19,110$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 17c | 19,000$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 74c | 18,703$13,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 38c | 18,522$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,408.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 13c | 18,087$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.75 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…61d6backed Yes | 14c | 16,992$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 36c | 16,257$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 20c | 16,000$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 29c | 15,000$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 14c | 13,805$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 32c | 13,289$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 15c | 12,578$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.64 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…fb00backed No | 75c | 12,400$9,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…12cabacked Yes | 17c | 11,804$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 48c | 11,556$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.22 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 21c | 11,444$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.48 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 6c | 11,376$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 60c | 11,358$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 46c | 11,083$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 46c | 10,782$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.64 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…624fbacked No | 73c | 10,509$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 57c | 10,210$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.14 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 39c | 9,961$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 66c | 9,839$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,541.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…2661backed Yes | 21c | 9,600$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,585$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 5c | 9,582$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 60c | 9,564$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.69 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 69c | 9,401$6,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 20c | 8,932$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.77 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 52c | 8,765$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 8,691$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 50c | 8,683$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 31c | 8,645$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.03 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 13c | 8,569$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.94 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,478$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 29c | 7,963$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 21c | 7,891$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.91 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…0f9abacked Yes | 13c | 7,875$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 19c | 7,584$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 7,400$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed Yes | 60c | 7,012$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…c652backed Yes | 32c | 7,009$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 32c | 6,992$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 20c | 6,956$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 65c | 6,727$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.1 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 48c | 6,582$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 79c | 6,455$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed No | 80c | 6,422$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.91 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 26c | 6,308$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 0c | 6,184$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed No | 76c | 6,090$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 35c | 6,074$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.25 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 19c | 5,611$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.81 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 24c | 5,356$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.17 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…cafebacked Yes | 33c | 5,266$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 28c | 5,131$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 12c | 5,108$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.91 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 77c | 5,100$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.82 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…f3bcbacked Yes | 8c | 5,049$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Yes | 17c | 5,018$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…39afbacked No | 41c | 4,918$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 4,872$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.71 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,803$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.44 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 44c | 4,785$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 18c | 4,781$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.49 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 10c | 4,691$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,506$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.77 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 7c | 4,484$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,469$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…27bebacked Yes | 21c | 4,371$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 22c | 4,358$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…b293backed Yes | 5c | 4,173$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 11c | 4,099$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,076$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 40c | 4,075$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…dd6dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,934$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 57c | 3,919$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.