TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28ca…5d19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,154
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 65 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT21161.1%129 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$342.38
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.19
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.5
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$512.53
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.69
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,851.73
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.59
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.39
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42%+$103.53
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.75
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$224.8
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$254.17
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,209.8
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$195.8
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.32
Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+43%+$121.85
Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$16.73
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,722.97
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$1,767.63
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$51.23
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.11
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT19440.2%78 W · 116 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42%+$51.68
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$69.24
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58%+$137.94
Will "The Brink of War" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+86%+$22.66
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.16
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.16
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.68
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.62
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.16
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+43%+$101.1
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$40.73
Will "The Witness" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$12.45
Will "Alden Ehrenreich" win Best Featured Actor in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$14.42
Will "Lesley Manville" win Best Leading Actress in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$21.18
Will "Qween Jean" win Best Costume Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$12.4
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$304.94
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$33.02
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.55
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.99
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,931.26
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,494.09
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$337.76
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.01
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$420.02
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$280.26
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.11
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.77
Will Argentina finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$11.5
Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$56.98
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$145.73
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$98.67
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$9.75
Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$157.28
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+71%+$98.02
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.44
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$666.37
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$18.94
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT8737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$300.87
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.24
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$109.06
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.91
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$35.26
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$98.4
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.29
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$53.04
Will Norway win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Albania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.12
Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.3
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,480
Will Malta win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.31
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.23
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+608.7%+$1,077.97
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,059.7
Will Serbia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.5
Will Poland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.78
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460
Will Croatia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.5
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.42
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT7631.6%24 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$84.46
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.33
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$50.74
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.34
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.19
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.58
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.28
Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.98
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$24.22
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$179.96
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$182.84
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$46.52
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$144.26
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.86
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.63
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,316.43
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$545.58
Will Jalen Brunson be on the cover of NBA 2K27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Jaylen Brown play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$46.88
Will Jaylen Brown play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+416.5%+$91.54
Will Jaylen Brown play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.86
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.62
NBA: 1st Overall Pick in 2026 Draft to be Traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$117.64
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$90.49
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$404.78
Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$133.21
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.37
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,768.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$328.68
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,103.22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.11
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$387.82
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+243.8%+$204.16
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.87
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Njoku play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
Will Ty Simpson be drafted in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$36.58
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.56
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$638
Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$112.57
Will Jeremiyah Love be drafted in the top 3 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.01
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$227.59
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,525.3
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$106.77
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$98.31
Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.97
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.46
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,630.84
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,098.79
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$749.55
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$520.5
Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.85
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+147.5%+$17.88
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.47
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$196.52
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "SpaceX" during NASA news conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.28
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.43
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.51
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.73
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.57
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$214.77
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$94.43
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 250m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$50.6
Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$217.12
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$962.28
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.49
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.99
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$50.88
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.36
Will Jensen Huang say "Blackwell" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.48
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Will Jensen Huang say "Hyperscaler" or "Hyperscale" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+151%+$63.76
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.64
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$268.42
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
Meek Mill releases AI app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.3%+$46.44
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3976.9%30 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+58.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+811.9%+$537.77
Will Michigan advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+270.8%+$157.74
Will Arizona advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$36.83
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$765.3
Will Duke advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$129.25
Will Duke advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$17.52
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$302.73
Will Purdue advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.75
Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.11
Will Purdue advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$178.57
Will Iowa advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$52.02
Will Tennessee advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will Michigan State advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$61.58
Will UConn advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$56.26
Will Alabama advance to the Quarterfinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.08
Will Alabama advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$62.64
Will Houston advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will Houston advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$40.2
Will Purdue advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Will Florida advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$16.35
Will UConn advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$424.96
Will Utah State advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$256.52
Will St. John’s advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27
Will Miami (FL) advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$64.1
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$29.76
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$76.38
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$46.78
Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.44
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$68.05
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$166.17
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+86%+$28.21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$65.71
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$16.15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$763.41
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.28
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.07
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Klarna say "Walmart" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75%+$15
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.35
Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
Will SpaceX say "Tesla" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will AMD say "Meta" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will AMD say "Helios" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will AMD say "Microsoft" or "Azure" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will Apple say "Apple Pay" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$107.64
Will Apple say "Siri" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.04
Will Meta say "Oakley" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Meta say "Algorithm" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Meta say "Llama" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$157.02
Will Microsoft say "Foundry" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.61
Will Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will PayPal say "Regulation" or "Regulator" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.4
Will PayPal say "Braintree" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$16.82
Will Verizon say "Spectrum" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.25
Will Intel say "Government" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.67
Will Bank of America say "World Cup" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$10.68
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$288.95
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$274.29
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.5%+$71.54
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,793Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+289.7%+$5,195.57
Will Mamdani say "Crisis" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.3%+$16.35
Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$294.73
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.77
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.47
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.17
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.22
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.36
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$637.44
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$339.7
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.06
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.27
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+376.2%+$86.9
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,602Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+107.5%+$13,546.86
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+99.8%+$325.18
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$402.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Golflast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 BMW Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$15.28
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Michael Thorbjornsen lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,550
Will Jake Knapp lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.58
Will Kurt Kitayama lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
3M Open: Hole-in-One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$50.82
Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$13.6
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$204.51
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$311.03
Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will Joe Highsmith finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.63
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
Will David Lipsky win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$149.64
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.94
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,714.32
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$664.09
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$69.09
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Ryan be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$61
Will Tarik Skubal be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will Ben Rice advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$69.14
Will Tyler Bell be drafted in the top 10 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$18.7
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted 3rd overall in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$18.9
Will Tyler Bell be drafted in the top 5 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Will AJ Gracia be drafted in the top 5 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.1
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,359.3%+$2,417.77
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.54
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$1,980.71
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$80.6
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.33
Will Venezuela win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$80.24
Will Mexico win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$35.29
Will USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.35
Will Cade Horton win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$48.84
Will Drake Baldwin win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+46.5%+$102.53
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$27.8
Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$423.45
Will Corey Heim win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$64.12
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$258.74
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.6
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.4
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$120.3
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$14.87
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$151.19
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$88.76
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$210.81
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,262.53
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$620.4
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37.9%+$82.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.78
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$156.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$72.1
Will Viggo Björck be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$31.41
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$37.12
Will Chase Reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.5
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.23
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$143.99
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$357.02
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+210%+$47.47
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$15.59
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.05
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5,188.05
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.88
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,366.14
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+164.9%+$19.88
Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Henry Sildaru (EST) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+34.5%+$20.26
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$154.44
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$59.43
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+71.4%+$683.44
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$59.27
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$74.25
Will Flora Tabanelli (ITA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Damien Zurek (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$77.97
Will Davide Ghiotto (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$388.63
Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$122.14
Will Damien Zurek (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Jonas Mueller (AUT) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.72
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$230.63
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$195.42
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$113.48
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.78
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$184.85
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+378%+$372.47
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.92
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$59.6
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,631Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.5%+$431.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+129.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.43
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$708.01
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+217%+$141.71
Will the Georgia Bulldogs be the #2 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+426.3%+$105.3
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+371.3%+$747.65
Will the Notre Dame Fighting Irish be the #9 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$240.37
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+562.1%+$450.46
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.7%+$446.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.49
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$34.01
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$154.11
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$706.5
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.87
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.99
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$30.14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+186.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+158%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+3,332.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$52.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$159.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.