Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962cf927e22608386d9a07804b0814ac04619ac3ea804772ab5c115181b1c90f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 41c | 12,876$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,651.18 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 60c | 11,000$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 50c | 6,454$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.34 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed No | 32c | 4,864$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.69 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 55c | 3,631$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.63 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 72c | 2,588$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 73c | 2,093$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.34 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,806$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 60c | 1,156$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 1,144$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.88 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed No | 57c | 871.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 42c | 786.97$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…cb8fbacked Yes | 24c | 740$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 700$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 682.28$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.74 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 17c | 640$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed No | 45c | 639.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 45c | 604.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 49c | 581.27$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…446abacked Yes | 50c | 495.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 51c | 465.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 34c | 440.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…e082backed Yes | 55c | 421.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 70c | 318.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…573ebacked Yes | 40c | 292.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 292.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…7a37backed Yes | 73c | 274$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…2d31backed Yes | 65c | 259.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 20c | 251.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…179cbacked Yes | 33c | 229.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 69c | 226.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 33c | 210.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 49c | 210.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2dd3backed Yes | 54c | 194.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Yes | 67c | 188.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 184.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 69c | 172.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 66c | 170.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 20c | 156.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 53c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…2ddcbacked Yes | 55c | 123.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed No | 65c | 116.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…115fbacked Yes | 64c | 110.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 47c | 105.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…2fc7backed No | 80c | 103.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…7487backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…6d38backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 99.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 61c | 97.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 29c | 93.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 57c | 88.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 39c | 86.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 55c | 82.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…cedbbacked Yes | 49c | 81.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Yes | 50c | 81.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…a052backed No | 53c | 75.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…f1c8backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…ff32backed Yes | 64c | 65.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…80cabacked Yes | 28c | 65.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 49c | 61.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes | 80c | 59.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 31c | 55.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…f5aebacked Yes | 64c | 54.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 41c | 54.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 47c | 51.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 55c | 42.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…85dfbacked Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…ef84backed No | 54c | 39.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…9a9bbacked Yes | 60c | 38.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 65c | 38.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…e24cbacked Yes | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…793ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…07b1backed Yes | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…c654backed No | 74c | 36.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 34.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…044dbacked Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…e81ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…6a83backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…b310backed Yes | 59c | 28.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?this page
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
- Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Yes won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.