TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x098f…47cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
559
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$31.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$137.28
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.48
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.13
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.72
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$19.64
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$9.31
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$9.96
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$20.66
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.14
Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$5.53
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.22
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$15.15
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$27.64
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.36
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.28
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$18.47
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+27%+$31.49
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162.72
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.72
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5
Will Blackpool FC vs. Carlisle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Will Carlisle United FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.8
Will Milton Keynes Dons FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Milton Keynes Dons FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$2.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+270.4%+$153.3
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.36
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$188.65
Will Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.36
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$114.3
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$34
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.45
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.14
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+30.1%+$40.21
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+79.5%+$69.1
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.2
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT5058%29 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$31.18
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.86
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.22
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$26.47
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+30.7%+$72.94
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.9%+$97.37
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180.75
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.1%+$18.38
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.14
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.68
Will Mouvement des Élites Engagées pour l’Émancipation du Bénin (MOELE-Benin) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Les Démocrates (LD) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+57.5%+$10.62
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.84
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+44%+$141.5
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$379.65
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.1%+$93.83
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$106.52
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+1,049.5%+$121.32
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.9%+$149.18
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$36.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$67.76
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$23.29
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45.22
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.5%+$79.04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$146.18
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.28
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+749.7%+$119.32
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$159.94
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.4%+$58.49
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$105.78
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$149.72
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25.7%+$11.25
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+45.1%+$43.03
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$81.9
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.63
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$27.56
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$42.95
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.91
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$40.86
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$28.4
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.89
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$18.65
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$23.42
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.9%+$9.56
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.7%+$27.8
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.52
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35%+$8.3
Will Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.96
Will Hamnet win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29%+$7.41
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will 27 named typhoons occur in the Northwest Pacific in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.32
Will NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$4.62
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$14.77
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$11.68
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.6%+$82.47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.5%+$72.29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.3%+$57.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$157.91
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+71.1%+$23.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+41.9%+$10.04
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+99.6%+$35.37
Will the highest temperature in Phoenix be 66–67°F on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 31-32°F on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$79.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+102.4%+$62.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$93.76
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+94.9%+$94.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+27.1%+$42.83
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+209.2%+$92.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.8%+$35.31
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3.54
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.44
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72%+$11.89
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.65
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+84.8%+$13.77
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$12.16
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Will Dak Prescott be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+71.2%+$16.63
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+43.4%+$12.18
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33%+$20.1
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Jonathan Taylor be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+76.8%+$9.66
Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+68.5%+$9.21
Will the Los Angeles Rams finish with the best record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+48.6%+$5.23
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.85
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$305.38
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+65.2%+$334.45
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75.03
Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75.4
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.11
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36.45
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+74.7%+$109.8
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.07
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.12
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.5%+$17.9
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.72
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.45
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will None in 2025 occur?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.8%+$84.23
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$116.89
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+41.8%+$14.75
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+46.2%+$609.54
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$49
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.9
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+220%+$274.99
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+43.2%+$117.91
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$119.38
Will the first House vote on CR funding bill pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$11.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.9
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$7.61
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$13.66
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$34.31
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.54
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.79
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.13
Will Brendan Gill be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+90.1%+$18.48
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.73
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$74.18
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$177.43
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$39
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+77.9%+$93.43
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.62
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.75
Will Ceará SC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44%+$6.8
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+223.1%+$110.26
Will Fortaleza EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$8.37
Will EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.44
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.22
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+46.2%+$22.56
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41.8%+$23.42
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.13
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.28
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$21.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$140
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.25
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.6%+$226.5
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.5%+$64.4
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$54.72
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.29
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+176%+$38.11
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.5%+$35.18
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+30.6%+$8.17
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+62.5%+$27.02
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+86.9%+$32.08
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44.1
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.6%+$5.93
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.5%+$12.63
Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+39.4%+$13.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$20.61
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$20.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$31.89
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+165.2%+$210.52
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192.24
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.85
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.8%+$106.27
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$76.68
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.7%+$55.8
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$266.92
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$317.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.1%+$23.05
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.4%+$51.62
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.7%+$85.63
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$132.88
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2025–2026 Doak Walker Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.88
Will Ohio State be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.7%+$18.51
Will Duke win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Alabama win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.6%+$13.22
Will Miami Ohio win the 2025 Mid-American Conference Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Western Michigan win the 2025 Mid-American Conference Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.57
Will Tulane win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.96
Will Jacksonville State win the 2025 Conference USA Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.63
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.89
Will PSV win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.72
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.6%+$21.57
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+54.1%+$9.83
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.44
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.9%+$27.9
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.75
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.4%+$15.61
Will Vitória SC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.72
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+102%+$35.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.1%+$37.41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$111.82
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75.86
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75.8
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
Will McLaren get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+124%+$22.95
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.2%+$29.44
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+54%+$36.81
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.68
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+54.9%+$66.02
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$239.9
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+68.7%+$15.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.08
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$11.9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+222.6%+$80.72
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.27
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37.9%+$26.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55.89
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$705.04
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+131.9%+$94.37
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$103
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.7%+$9.44
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.1%+$12.1
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.07
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.74
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+27.1%+$12.47
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+120.5%+$15.85
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.29
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.8%+$21.43
Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.22
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.35
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.67
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.1%+$51.48
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Assad public appearance before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$133
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$253.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+213%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.7%+$30.58
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+704.2%+$272.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+30.7%+$10.58
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+85.2%+$27.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$804.08
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almeida vs. Alhassanbacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.94
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.