NFL · resolved market
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1329a399b6534cb77323e496fd2dc9e247f2a8946df86a03284581d87869018f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,331,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,560,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,331,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,094 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa53…0149backed Yes | 38c | 265,224$102,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,141.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 60c | 165,677$100,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,141.54 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…b4bbbacked No | 45c | 124,946$56,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,071.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…ccb5backed Yes | 37c | 105,298$39,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,258.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b8…5e11backed Yes | 52c | 82,401$43,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,196.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Yes | 54c | 73,366$39,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,658.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked No | 61c | 70,500$42,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,914.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…2bebbacked Yes | 54c | 66,119$35,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,563.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed No | 45c | 46,791$20,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,894.33 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 44c | 46,478$20,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,510.52 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…710abacked Yes | 52c | 45,215$23,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,574.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 52c | 45,139$23,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,548.87 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d2…822abacked Yes | 62c | 40,299$25,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,287.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 50c | 39,786$20,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,703.12 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 53c | 39,381$20,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,496.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…fa7dbacked Yes | 54c | 38,958$21,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,776.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…a7f5backed Yes | 57c | 37,746$21,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,309.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…7c08backed Yes | 53c | 37,475$19,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,631.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…8cf7backed Yes | 53c | 37,117$19,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,363.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8429backed Yes | 58c | 36,855$21,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,590.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…1a25backed Yes | 58c | 36,454$21,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,337.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 79c | 35,810$28,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,663.64 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Yes | 61c | 33,354$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,054 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 61c | 31,803$19,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,439.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…36b3backed Yes | 53c | 27,135$14,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,634.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…5b5ebacked Yes | 40c | 26,953$10,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,136.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14f…39a0backed No | 46c | 26,872$12,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,454.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…3569backed Yes | 54c | 24,574$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,289.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…d2cfbacked Yes | 55c | 21,840$11,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,904.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…538cbacked Yes | 55c | 21,222$11,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,533.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…865fbacked Yes | 56c | 21,177$11,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 35c | 20,862$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,611.06 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…56b0backed Yes | 53c | 20,503$10,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,570.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 26c | 18,940$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 70c | 17,501$12,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.88 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 76c | 17,255$13,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,068.38 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…4414backed Yes | 18c | 16,961$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,926.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 44c | 16,324$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,101.79 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 55c | 15,573$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,952.79 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…1681backed Yes | 79c | 14,157$11,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 43c | 14,028$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,945.67 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 49c | 13,744$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…c6c1backed Yes | 57c | 13,719$7,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…968abacked Yes | 50c | 13,673$6,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 54c | 13,029$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.32 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed No | 57c | 12,800$7,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,264.27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 55c | 12,274$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.66 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…442abacked No | 42c | 12,053$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…770fbacked Yes | 53c | 12,008$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 72c | 11,861$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.31 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…f905backed Yes | 72c | 11,856$8,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 36c | 11,800$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.05 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 72c | 11,607$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 5c | 11,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 45c | 10,946$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 51c | 10,928$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.41 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 53c | 10,395$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.95 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6121…6f3ebacked Yes | 55c | 9,951$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 59c | 9,860$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…42debacked Yes | 50c | 9,836$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 35c | 9,547$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.08 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 72c | 9,149$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…b785backed Yes | 55c | 9,060$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…8e59backed No | 19c | 8,807$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c053backed Yes | 51c | 8,707$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 23c | 8,314$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.56 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 31c | 8,282$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.69 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 58c | 8,126$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.3 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 44c | 8,077$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.62 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 68c | 8,004$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked No | 14c | 7,933$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.06 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 57c | 7,798$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 72c | 7,295$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…9dacbacked Yes | 55c | 7,207$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 12c | 7,083$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 59c | 6,752$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…5eecbacked Yes | 53c | 6,620$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 57c | 6,512$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 57c | 6,402$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…a26abacked Yes | 79c | 6,279$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 70c | 6,235$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.29 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 22c | 6,143$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.16 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 29c | 6,100$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 9c | 5,984$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.12 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 36c | 5,977$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 18c | 5,791$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.99 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 20c | 5,694$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.8 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…c69bbacked Yes | 55c | 5,454$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…5ac2backed Yes | 57c | 5,290$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Yes | 25c | 5,106$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…f3d5backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…c233backed Yes | 65c | 4,878$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 75c | 4,823$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed No | 31c | 4,640$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…1c8cbacked Yes | 55c | 4,625$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,504$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 34c | 4,312$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 44c | 4,192$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.69 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 18c | 4,110$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.7 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.