NFL · resolved market
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d13fe684aff966b48c1f14778a8aa46294e94405238aaa496c526968268b6a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,777,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,417,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,777,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 353,158$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 146,637$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…9bf4backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0b63backed Yes | 0c | 50,526$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…a550backed Yes | 0c | 50,463$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…8b81backed Yes | 0c | 46,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…5adabacked Yes | 0c | 41,403$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…68c6backed Yes | 0c | 37,926$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 27,100$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…06e1backed Yes | 0c | 26,336$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…5b51backed Yes | 0c | 25,435$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d537backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…536cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,739$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…ab9cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…5216backed Yes | 0c | 15,576$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2553…3122backed Yes | 0c | 15,306$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…0b54backed Yes | 0c | 14,774$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 0c | 13,332$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…e923backed Yes | 0c | 12,395$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…30a9backed Yes | 0c | 12,274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…09efbacked Yes | 0c | 12,153$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456c…5c5fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9ce4backed Yes | 0c | 11,142$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…03f6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 9,708$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.67 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…e105backed Yes | 0c | 9,343$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…bafabacked Yes | 0c | 8,779$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…2666backed Yes | 0c | 7,845$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 4c | 7,679$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…7aeebacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…cd8ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…a93bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,384$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…10f9backed Yes | 0c | 6,224$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…327dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…5485backed Yes | 0c | 5,985$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 15c | 5,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 17c | 5,365$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.68 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…51c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,314$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8c67backed Yes | 0c | 5,275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…1c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,048$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 10c | 5,014$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 0c | 4,802$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed Yes | 0c | 4,765$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 13c | 4,536$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.27 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 9c | 3,323$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Yes | 13c | 2,858$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…f9a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,133$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 20c | 1,877$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,678$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…dd37backed Yes | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…2a64backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 12c | 1,073$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 794.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…320fbacked Yes | 3c | 716.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 18c | 698.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 18c | 550.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…18adbacked Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 22c | 454.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…eb0abacked Yes | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 6c | 362.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…eb1dbacked Yes | 17c | 358.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes | 10c | 325.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…8934backed Yes | 16c | 310.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 21c | 310.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked No | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Yes | 14c | 285.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Yes | 10c | 273.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 8c | 237.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…130fbacked Yes | 17c | 165.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…5922backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…2b67backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…bc44backed Yes | 22c | 96.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed No | 76c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…e334backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…c969backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.