NFL · resolved market
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cacd5e8672cbd40b6d746998440b4b86a51579120cc14f150594a4175a9304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,886,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,273,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,886,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 578,744$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.56 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 114,485$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…971fbacked Yes | 0c | 96,860$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 81,545$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…d4ddbacked Yes | 0c | 66,500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 62,845$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…f489backed Yes | 0c | 51,462$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…9464backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 39,267$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…0bf6backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…2f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…3c27backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 0c | 34,351$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,524$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…e8d7backed Yes | 0c | 25,940$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…3811backed Yes | 0c | 25,390$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d537backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…4992backed Yes | 0c | 24,365$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,336$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 22,326$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…0177backed Yes | 0c | 22,322$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 22,321$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,317$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 22,312$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…a9c4backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…a628backed Yes | 0c | 14,762$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…e07ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,254$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e830backed Yes | 0c | 12,714$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…155ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,614$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…ef44backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…b1c2backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…57adbacked Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a0…e926backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…597fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…25d5backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…3b35backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c44bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…7f20backed Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…0e4abacked Yes | 1c | 12,335$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…08cebacked Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…a00abacked Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…c5adbacked Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…14b2backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…6dd9backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…1188backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…d63bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…6385backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…9eefbacked Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…64d8backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8fb0backed Yes | 1c | 11,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0062…9251backed Yes | 0c | 11,878$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…af15backed Yes | 0c | 11,848$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…d663backed Yes | 1c | 11,813$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 11,515$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,515$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…cd90backed Yes | 0c | 11,451$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…5149backed Yes | 0c | 10,931$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…cb59backed Yes | 0c | 10,838$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…39bdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,785$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…6e3ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…31dfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c59…f488backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…ceefbacked Yes | 0c | 9,686$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…3a6ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,392$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…b3b6backed Yes | 0c | 9,391$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…77d8backed Yes | 0c | 9,372$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd329…5c4abacked Yes | 0c | 9,362$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…71e5backed Yes | 0c | 9,343$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc8…05cfbacked Yes | 1c | 9,343$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…6e71backed Yes | 0c | 8,810$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…5978backed Yes | 0c | 8,802$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…f363backed Yes | 0c | 8,802$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…58d4backed Yes | 0c | 8,802$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…8bf7backed Yes | 0c | 8,801$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…43c3backed Yes | 0c | 8,792$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…b9e8backed Yes | 0c | 8,792$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…4d23backed Yes | 0c | 8,792$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…f82bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,754$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…9dc1backed Yes | 0c | 8,752$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…5e1bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,752$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…235bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,441$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…1258backed Yes | 0c | 8,314$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…e9f2backed Yes | 1c | 8,223$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…df68backed Yes | 0c | 7,409$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…7e4ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,362$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,205$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…9354backed Yes | 0c | 7,011$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…0d77backed Yes | 0c | 6,821$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…2b59backed Yes | 0c | 6,696$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…2185backed Yes | 0c | 6,566$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe580…7c2cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,185$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…5207backed Yes | 0c | 6,171$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…af8bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…6cf3backed Yes | 0c | 6,116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…6a15backed Yes | 0c | 6,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…ee7abacked Yes | 0c | 6,031$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.