NFL · resolved market
Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb0e419b834c11bccf9e46239788f0af07b9b461387fe5e5e91f2892779f796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,412,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,412,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 333,739$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.44 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…3f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 196,340$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…ad6cbacked Yes | 0c | 165,559$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 133,527$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 104,208$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…e159backed Yes | 0c | 54,770$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8253…ec4abacked Yes | 2c | 46,514$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…de3ebacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 34,465$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 31,772$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,756$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…0177backed Yes | 0c | 31,736$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…4992backed Yes | 0c | 31,736$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 31,724$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bd26backed Yes | 0c | 31,719$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 31,719$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,719$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,719$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 31,719$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…3811backed Yes | 0c | 31,690$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…c360backed Yes | 0c | 26,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…e8d7backed Yes | 0c | 24,143$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…9c7ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,214$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…8b0cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,028$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 17,084$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 16,752$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…ab54backed Yes | 0c | 16,484$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…f00dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,484$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 15,946$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…cd99backed Yes | 0c | 15,941$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 15,930$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…0cc4backed Yes | 0c | 15,869$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…511fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,869$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c48…61f2backed Yes | 0c | 15,366$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…a628backed Yes | 0c | 14,762$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…838cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,743$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…b23cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…e151backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…77d2backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f1…21a2backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a74…4a76backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…4df6backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63c…7f66backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…b41ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…1673backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…ab0abacked Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…38e6backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…0ea5backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9738backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…4572backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…86b9backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…95c7backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6612…760abacked Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…eda2backed Yes | 0c | 14,254$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…afa3backed Yes | 0c | 13,733$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…9842backed Yes | 0c | 13,602$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ec…0b21backed Yes | 0c | 13,602$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…a431backed Yes | 0c | 13,266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…d7adbacked Yes | 0c | 12,633$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…10e4backed Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9ac0backed Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…12f4backed Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…7315backed Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…b97ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…d8dfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…b6b4backed Yes | 0c | 11,335$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9815…0d7ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,335$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5bc8backed Yes | 0c | 11,130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…6aafbacked Yes | 0c | 11,122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…64e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,963$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…2881backed Yes | 0c | 10,690$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…06c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,512$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…74e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…fa3bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdca…7347backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…41dabacked Yes | 0c | 9,960$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…d62fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…ded3backed Yes | 0c | 9,068$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…1a6fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,063$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…ffb3backed Yes | 0c | 7,995$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…e5a2backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…35d7backed Yes | 0c | 7,477$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 7,286$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59a…a06ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,222$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…a4fabacked Yes | 0c | 6,632$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…0dfebacked Yes | 0c | 5,856$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3266…b5f5backed Yes | 0c | 5,557$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…ab36backed Yes | 0c | 5,555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d537backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…6a4dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,752$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…7935backed Yes | 0c | 4,583$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…0bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 4,325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…eef6backed Yes | 0c | 3,818$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…5303backed Yes | 0c | 3,731$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…c981backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…862abacked Yes | 1c | 1,810$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 4c | 777.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.