TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,881,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,022,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,881,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc603…bf21backed Yes0c538,872$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e8…0f40backed Yes0c537,937$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6785…82debacked Yes0c536,744$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d7…9331backed Yes0c530,137$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae1…331dbacked Yes0c526,948$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd30e…5134backed Yes0c522,589$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ef…6297backed Yes0c468,427$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40d…c6a1backed Yes0c379,505$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdb…cec5backed Yes0c244,898$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c224,912$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.281014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c211,999$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3491769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa1…740cbacked Yes0c176,264$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d9…0f83backed Yes0c129,979$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…f357backed Yes0c129,068$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f2…9e23backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd566…7a18backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c28…af5bbacked Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…838cbacked Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36d…3897backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03bd…cd99backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…e476backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…d063backed Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83a…132cbacked Yes0c129,067$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd860…4978backed Yes0c126,971$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9719…7213backed Yes0c117,335$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bcc…769ebacked Yes0c117,335$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e6…be28backed Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc73…2c8cbacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe378…4a5bbacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…021dbacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d9…60bbbacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…8c3abacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe95…c4ffbacked Yes0c117,334$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c5…726abacked Yes0c117,333$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc143…82d1backed Yes0c116,191$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c105,484$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.212430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…0bc6backed Yes0c102,749$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c92,567$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.13170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe933…6d9dbacked Yes0c90,526$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf48…380cbacked Yes0c85,673$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…9964backed Yes0c77,865$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5d…16e9backed Yes0c75,735$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c69,999$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e6…7801backed Yes0c67,256$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0e…1726backed Yes0c65,068$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12c…beabbacked Yes0c62,920$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.76425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2531…9f0cbacked Yes0c61,202$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe9…bb4fbacked Yes0c60,771$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-67.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1404…6100backed Yes0c60,771$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.31520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fd…21b7backed Yes0c57,802$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.41425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-67.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…5221backed Yes0c56,992$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4a…9130backed Yes0c56,937$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a48dbacked Yes0c55,733$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa818…2903backed Yes0c55,349$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.05520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-73.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…07c4backed Yes0c54,402$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea02…1d53backed Yes0c54,394$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…27e3backed Yes0c54,394$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60de…65eebacked Yes0c54,393$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.18520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3526…3dfabacked Yes0c51,192$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…84bdbacked Yes0c51,001$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8dc…3838backed Yes0c47,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1760…dcbbbacked Yes0c44,791$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe364…9c2ebacked Yes0c44,201$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-67.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Yes0c40,499$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-87%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes0c33,888$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.44110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e1…3743backed Yes0c33,655$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d3…f13abacked Yes0c32,156$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6a…a628backed Yes0c29,525$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.57120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba4…a8aabacked Yes0c24,772$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c23,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…8042backed Yes0c21,851$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d6…dca2backed Yes0c21,163$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ce…30dabacked Yes0c21,052$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf2…acc4backed Yes0c20,084$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.25110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40342.9%1 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-78.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…21d0backed Yes0c19,727$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d3…e97bbacked Yes0c19,289$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4588…c822backed Yes0c17,170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…b560backed Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…3f75backed Yes0c15,749$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef6…3c52backed Yes0c15,617$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8560%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…155ebacked Yes0c15,262$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-82.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…80f2backed Yes0c13,143$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fe…8aaabacked Yes0c12,448$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…4c49backed Yes0c12,365$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes5c11,959$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x714f…e8aebacked Yes0c11,620$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5281…cd90backed Yes0c11,451$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c11,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1734.1%3 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0456…5149backed Yes0c10,931$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23f…bbadbacked Yes0c10,814$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…74b7backed Yes0c10,624$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-93.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c6…a1cebacked Yes0c9,853$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…e624backed Yes0c9,667$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c9,105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a71…d11abacked Yes1c8,863$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27a…2d43backed Yes0c8,228$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…8287backed Yes0c7,142$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.