NFL · resolved market
Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ba88e8d698ac926742aadee2abd94f2a82a3daa0058a9c615139494c769d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,584,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,937,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,584,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa23…8d7bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,450,701$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 518,150$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…68c6backed Yes | 0c | 478,464$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…08a8backed Yes | 0c | 476,625$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…245abacked Yes | 0c | 411,898$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 255,526$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9ce4backed Yes | 0c | 131,322$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 0c | 112,086$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 99,800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 76,657$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…15a3backed Yes | 0c | 67,060$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 63,269$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…5198backed Yes | 0c | 62,688$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d07dbacked Yes | 0c | 62,497$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…c262backed Yes | 0c | 61,511$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…c7babacked Yes | 0c | 60,260$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…02d6backed Yes | 0c | 59,864$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…8489backed Yes | 0c | 46,631$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…2666backed Yes | 0c | 45,432$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4152…5daebacked Yes | 0c | 44,212$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2553…3122backed Yes | 0c | 42,112$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…0b54backed Yes | 0c | 41,515$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8c67backed Yes | 0c | 41,231$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…a93bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,527$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…120fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,829$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 0c | 29,702$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 2c | 26,593$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…8fe3backed Yes | 0c | 25,999$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…64a3backed Yes | 0c | 25,548$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…f719backed Yes | 0c | 25,378$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…5866backed Yes | 0c | 20,102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…5adabacked Yes | 0c | 17,816$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…0d8abacked Yes | 0c | 15,904$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…5359backed Yes | 0c | 13,197$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…51c3backed Yes | 0c | 13,037$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…3c0abacked Yes | 0c | 13,037$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 12,707$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…d4b6backed Yes | 0c | 11,833$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 11,453$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…b0dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…5268backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…1daabacked Yes | 0c | 9,884$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…9641backed Yes | 0c | 9,617$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…3ddcbacked Yes | 0c | 8,884$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 8,075$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…d6b3backed Yes | 0c | 7,662$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…b003backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7d…2fb5backed Yes | 0c | 6,594$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…cb83backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…7986backed Yes | 0c | 5,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…fddbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,733$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…d6b3backed Yes | 0c | 5,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…a96ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,504$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…2739backed Yes | 0c | 5,315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,181$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…59e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,645$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 2c | 1,947$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…37b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,691$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 3c | 1,039$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 6c | 831.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…7e2abacked Yes | 2c | 647.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 4c | 645.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…862abacked Yes | 4c | 513.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 4c | 372.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.