NFL · resolved market
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b835cd8ec86eb9c44c6f1dc4185e5788c235868f2cb3f17b69ba67fe883d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,044,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,173,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,044,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c5f…5eb7backed No | 78c | 446,500$347,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,310 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…0149backed No | 40c | 392,266$158,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,585.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 59c | 144,196$85,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,654.62 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Yes | 73c | 137,000$99,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,801 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…b4bbbacked Yes | 46c | 113,772$52,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,663.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 56c | 85,276$47,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,476.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Yes | 59c | 71,000$41,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,777.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609c…7dafbacked Yes | 72c | 69,000$49,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,956 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…722abacked No | 28c | 69,000$18,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,025 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9f…eff6backed Yes | 28c | 69,000$19,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…8c99backed No | 72c | 69,000$49,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…38aebacked Yes | 73c | 68,000$49,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,776 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…7defbacked No | 27c | 68,000$18,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,776 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…80a6backed Yes | 27c | 68,000$18,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,632 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…cdf3backed No | 73c | 68,000$49,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,632 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…bdaebacked No | 76c | 65,500$49,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,589 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…004fbacked Yes | 24c | 65,500$15,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 39c | 64,830$25,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,379.29 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484e…ebc7backed Yes | 20c | 62,000$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…d09bbacked No | 80c | 62,000$49,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,524 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…cbb2backed Yes | 20c | 62,000$12,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…e6ffbacked Yes | 19c | 61,000$11,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,529 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde0…a9fcbacked Yes | 47c | 60,778$28,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,643.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 38c | 60,308$22,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,388.62 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…7d82backed Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 20c | 55,246$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036.43 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 69c | 46,878$32,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,454.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8429backed No | 52c | 42,923$22,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,731.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 56c | 42,349$23,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,902.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 48c | 41,100$19,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,689.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf14f…39a0backed Yes | 46c | 37,581$17,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,401.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 42c | 36,136$15,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,130.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed No | 61c | 33,607$20,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,191.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 63c | 33,398$21,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,040.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…2890backed No | 51c | 31,856$16,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,732.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…56b0backed No | 54c | 30,740$16,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,033.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…8541backed Yes | 53c | 30,692$16,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,275.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Yes | 48c | 30,164$14,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,351.06 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 55c | 28,949$15,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,977.02 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 56c | 27,705$15,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,427.04 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…c932backed Yes | 51c | 26,043$13,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,270.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 24c | 25,798$6,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.19 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 49c | 24,745$12,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,123.16 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…3569backed No | 53c | 21,942$11,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…ccb5backed No | 40c | 21,296$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,802.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b8…5e11backed No | 51c | 20,444$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 9c | 20,180$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…170cbacked Yes | 57c | 19,923$11,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,382.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…4f43backed Yes | 53c | 18,732$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 32c | 18,604$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 65c | 18,485$12,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Yes | 55c | 18,212$9,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,934.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 37c | 18,174$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776.72 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 41c | 18,113$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 49c | 17,606$8,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,624.38 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,600$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…4a3bbacked Yes | 50c | 17,497$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,742.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…8c78backed Yes | 7c | 17,432$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…c6c1backed No | 57c | 17,431$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,430.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 46c | 16,010$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,326.71 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Yes | 10c | 15,835$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.14 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…36b3backed No | 55c | 15,707$8,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…fa7dbacked No | 56c | 14,483$8,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 24c | 14,404$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.43 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 46c | 14,388$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.1 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 45c | 14,324$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476.33 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…e836backed Yes | 55c | 13,111$7,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…c3efbacked Yes | 79c | 13,087$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,375.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…63c1backed Yes | 9c | 12,229$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 31c | 12,076$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,312.85 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 15c | 12,073$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.49 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…2946backed Yes | 48c | 11,485$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 13c | 11,324$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…5b5ebacked No | 53c | 11,225$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 46c | 10,984$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.78 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 22c | 10,912$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.47 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Yes | 54c | 10,909$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.22 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…f3d5backed Yes | 45c | 10,653$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…9be5backed No | 48c | 10,470$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…6f6bbacked Yes | 49c | 10,346$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 56c | 10,204$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 57c | 10,037$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 48c | 10,001$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.77 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked No | 64c | 9,640$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…f905backed Yes | 31c | 9,486$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked Yes | 48c | 9,485$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…3cefbacked Yes | 59c | 9,456$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…0722backed Yes | 5c | 9,164$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 47c | 9,147$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 63c | 9,130$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.4 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 52c | 9,106$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.15 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…8008backed Yes | 45c | 9,100$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…7a34backed No | 55c | 9,100$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…29aebacked Yes | 45c | 9,100$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…868bbacked No | 55c | 9,100$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861d…d181backed Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5484backed Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…a1d6backed Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…997dbacked No | 55c | 9,000$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 31c | 9,000$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.