TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7662…7930

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
342
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$245.72
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.93
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+43.9%+$8.78
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+126.2%+$189.29
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150.01
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+98.1%+$97.11
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$199.56
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$125.87
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.76
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+124.4%+$435.36
Golden Knights vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+77.5%+$46.52
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$297.25
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$83.68
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$606.9
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$456
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$472
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$490.25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.5%+$23.75
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.5%+$116.13
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.34
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.92
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+27.4%+$190.38
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+155.1%+$46.52
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$144.03
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.79
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.74
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.1%+$159.24
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.1%+$23.49
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.5%+$195.73
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.8%+$127.5
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$243.59
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+98.2%+$68.66
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$127.36
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$133.52
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$695.02
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+273.4%+$831.17
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$648.72
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+178.3%+$93.39
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.3%+$238.74
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.6%+$53.29
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.4%+$280.45
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+70%+$76.75
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$59.94
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.52
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+135.4%+$304.62
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$138
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$24
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$47.4
Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31%+$309.81
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.92
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,499.58
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$821.66
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$369
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will TikTok be banned before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Trump approval >40% on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$182
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$325
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$113
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$66
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$530.7
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$91.3
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
TikTok on App Store again before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$359.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+159.8%+$31.96
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+93.2%+$158.69
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$114.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$426.53
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$452.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$631.87
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$77.57
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$7.42
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$209.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$41.82
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+197.5%+$287.89
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45%+$632.25
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.5%+$77.93
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27%+$54.02
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+62.3%+$47.73
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$112.33
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$38.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$6.9
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$18.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.8%+$70.59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.44
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.1%+$7.79
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.4%+$22.65
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.61
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$550.82
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$145
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.31
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.52
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$516.56
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+143.2%+$77.67
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.3%+$110.39
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$715.59
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$209.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+150.9%+$31.45
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$11.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.98
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$6.68
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27%+$6.74
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.5%+$549.22
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+73.2%+$40.22
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+68.7%+$461.34
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+45.7%+$234.94
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$776.55
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.93
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+54.3%+$73.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$141.78
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$350.9
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$410
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$64
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$110.23
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.9%+$80.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85.5%+$539.55
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+89%+$44.41
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+62.7%+$6.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$24.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.5%+$63.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Monacobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$677.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.