Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe532af9ad52e3139c4e032b5a2058bc5b6788bd959da5ddb8e5658d63081ee07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,538,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,533,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,538,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 45c | 72,243$32,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,633.1 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 41c | 69,328$28,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,616.37 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 40c | 64,352$25,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,893.32 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 61c | 60,820$37,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,038.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 35c | 46,576$16,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,417.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…276ebacked No | 0c | 45,590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 44,388$20,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,978.13 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed No | 48c | 42,342$20,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,232.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…6918backed No | 0c | 41,102$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…de3bbacked No | 1c | 35,746$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…fcc7backed No | 1c | 31,346$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 15c | 30,699$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,137.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…511abacked Yes | 42c | 23,811$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,827.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +254%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked Yes | 28c | 19,466$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,001.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 67c | 16,302$10,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,948.48 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 58c | 14,415$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed No | 0c | 13,507$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…0776backed No | 0c | 11,417$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 35c | 9,440$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 46c | 8,463$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 79c | 8,412$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.86 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc68…e5c6backed No | 0c | 8,260$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 53c | 7,910$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 37c | 7,494$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked No | 1c | 7,348$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 69c | 7,090$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.9 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 55c | 6,994$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.48 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 65c | 6,853$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 23c | 6,736$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.59 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 45c | 6,590$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed No | 47c | 5,451$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 27c | 4,995$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 35c | 4,958$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 63c | 4,946$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.04 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…8bbcbacked Yes | 42c | 4,857$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…73fbbacked No | 0c | 4,725$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…7316backed Yes | 38c | 4,496$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…6a71backed No | 62c | 4,475$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 17c | 4,084$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.67 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed No | 50c | 3,942$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…abc4backed No | 70c | 3,881$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…5184backed Yes | 26c | 3,807$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…e9b2backed No | 74c | 3,721$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked Yes | 40c | 3,550$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 31c | 3,532$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.26 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed Yes | 49c | 3,530$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 66c | 3,494$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.83 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0267backed Yes | 29c | 3,468$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…0a91backed Yes | 41c | 3,329$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…5267backed No | 71c | 3,262$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856a…f95ebacked No | 59c | 3,196$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 65c | 3,129$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.27 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 54c | 3,126$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.86 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…db7cbacked No | 1c | 3,123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…2ce9backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 69c | 2,907$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.74 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 2,836$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.64 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…addbbacked No | 57c | 2,795$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 73c | 2,738$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…73debacked No | 53c | 2,664$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 42c | 2,649$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.16 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 17c | 2,605$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 12c | 2,600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…29aebacked Yes | 41c | 2,475$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…3f9cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,415$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…1a18backed No | 59c | 2,409$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…41afbacked No | 62c | 2,329$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…109fbacked No | 71c | 2,314$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…efe8backed Yes | 38c | 2,302$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…ac66backed No | 56c | 2,285$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…bf3bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,156$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4d64backed Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…8b8abacked No | 59c | 2,098$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 62c | 2,085$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.69 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…acf8backed No | 74c | 2,030$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked No | 58c | 2,026$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…081dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,011$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 39c | 2,008$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…beb9backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…5c52backed No | 62c | 1,965$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…ac27backed Yes | 38c | 1,949$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…da0fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,917$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…0085backed No | 71c | 1,909$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b5…cb8bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,834$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed No | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c856backed No | 59c | 1,787$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…3d26backed Yes | 29c | 1,714$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…53f0backed No | 74c | 1,708$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…c0bdbacked No | 62c | 1,706$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…e358backed Yes | 52c | 1,700$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…3784backed Yes | 38c | 1,686$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…1f78backed Yes | 26c | 1,685$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 61c | 1,671$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 18c | 1,652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 49c | 1,640$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 41c | 1,616$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.79 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.