Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eff7db72317284577ec96923ff315a39fad182cbe278065c8ec7ddfe8668c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $837,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 61c | 103,503$62,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,695.66 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 47c | 72,639$34,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,188.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 56c | 49,241$27,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,576.65 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 26,333$14,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,366.93 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 62c | 20,005$12,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.84 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed Yes | 58c | 15,885$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 45c | 15,628$7,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,072.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 67c | 14,729$9,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 55c | 12,161$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.27 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed No | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 38c | 10,574$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.69 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 9c | 10,000$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 57c | 9,000$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.49 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 30c | 8,816$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 47c | 8,637$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.54 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 65c | 8,460$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.46 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 39c | 7,759$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…a7fbbacked Yes | 45c | 7,220$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 44c | 6,560$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.78 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 77c | 5,601$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.38 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 27c | 5,448$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.99 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…ac66backed No | 26c | 5,407$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 44c | 5,205$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…b541backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 46c | 4,368$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 45c | 4,134$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.89 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 43c | 3,828$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 49c | 3,543$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked Yes | 49c | 3,363$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…8b91backed Yes | 61c | 3,346$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked No | 44c | 3,239$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 2,978$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.34 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Yes | 70c | 2,860$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 49c | 2,662$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 56c | 2,470$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.15 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 44c | 2,468$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.77 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 23c | 2,333$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…329dbacked No | 4c | 2,300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…1e2ebacked No | 29c | 2,153$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…73d7backed Yes | 55c | 2,108$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked No | 30c | 2,101$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 67c | 1,999$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed Yes | 56c | 1,976$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +137%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…865dbacked No | 44c | 1,914$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…48a8backed Yes | 71c | 1,846$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…c8c9backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 47c | 1,693$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159c…ad37backed No | 59c | 1,688$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 28c | 1,451$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…5b5abacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5c05backed No | 53c | 1,384$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…3b2abacked Yes | 72c | 1,379$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 1,193$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3d6abacked Yes | 47c | 1,172$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…2aefbacked No | 43c | 1,168$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…5d7ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 67c | 1,070$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 52c | 1,069$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 1,050$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…a5b1backed Yes | 53c | 1,037$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…ec3bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,016$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…4c57backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…e3bcbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…4008backed Yes | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 51c | 991.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Yes | 50c | 983.64$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…772cbacked Yes | 47c | 954$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 11c | 920$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 916.85$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.05 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…130abacked No | 14c | 900$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked No | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…1b40backed No | 23c | 853$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 56c | 843.91$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 73c | 801.92$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…e291backed Yes | 59c | 800$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 65c | 799.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 61c | 795.6$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 54c | 789.1$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 56c | 750$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…ddc1backed No | 39c | 740.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…fbe3backed Yes | 57c | 738.66$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b27ebacked Yes | 49c | 731.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 58c | 702.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.