TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2c2…4de7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,336
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT49142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 491 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$409
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$369
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.42
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.94
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$497
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$390
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$440
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$384
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$320
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$135
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$190
Showing 25 of 491 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT38046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 380 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$218.1
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$187.87
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$1,456.83
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.23
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.99
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,649.23
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Mammoth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,577Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$1,445
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.84
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$1,650.67
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,423.36
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,598.86
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.03
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.34
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$909.28
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$6,542.34
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.83
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$161.01
Showing 25 of 380 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST22446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.1%+$259.21
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$696.59
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.9%+$280.23
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$247.88
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,273.8
Big Game: First Timeout?backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Big Game: First Team To Scorebacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+77.2%+$546.13
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$540
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$720
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,169.94
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$930
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$416
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST15734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$879
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$166.58
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$696
O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,010
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$416
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)backed Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$660
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$432
O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$969
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$162
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,520
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$764.99
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$780
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$696
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$376
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$600
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$470
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$101
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.43
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.07
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.49
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.72
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$298.86
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.91
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$555.17
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.86
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$877.51
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.81
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55
SIUE Cougars vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+233.3%+$350
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Winthrop Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+733.3%+$879.99
Georgia State Panthers vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$189.9
Furman Paladins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Lafayette Leopards vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Washington State Cougars vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+308.2%+$754.99
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,062
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$611
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100.8%+$381.84
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+110.2%+$367
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$901.09
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$295.44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.6%+$1,014.06
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.26
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+184.3%+$8,223.98
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.9%+$3,691.55
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$1,519.07
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.3%+$623.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.62
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,062.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,452.2
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,469.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.92
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$36.17
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,546.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$212
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+300%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$598.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.