Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f9d3f61910ecf7a5e6e46f487a039e91a92b68585f05ec9b22cb34d3804bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,570,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,144,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,570,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 22c | 321,537$70,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,853.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…1015backed Yes | 8c | 316,036$25,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,389.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…f955backed Yes | 24c | 201,326$48,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,684.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 135,453$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.4 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 20c | 104,041$20,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,669.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 79c | 97,291$77,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,063.83 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 90,543$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.29 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…8b7bbacked Yes | 1c | 83,963$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 83,022$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.75 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…94edbacked No | 70c | 65,115$45,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,675.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 75c | 63,235$47,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,016.54 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…eed5backed Yes | 27c | 59,338$15,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,865.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 55,842$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 13c | 51,579$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.84 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 72c | 50,763$36,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,030.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 49,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b9b1backed No | 80c | 48,814$38,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 14c | 44,598$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 23c | 44,538$10,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,114.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed No | 70c | 44,460$31,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 26c | 41,405$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,759.73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 78c | 40,068$31,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,012.54 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 10c | 33,000$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…eea5backed No | 62c | 32,467$20,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,202.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes | 13c | 32,379$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…589bbacked Yes | 4c | 31,475$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…8b50backed Yes | 21c | 28,500$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 11c | 27,200$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…7adbbacked Yes | 35c | 27,139$9,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,478.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…2e78backed Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 17c | 22,800$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.71 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…7762backed Yes | 26c | 22,721$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 9c | 21,432$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Yes | 13c | 21,332$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 73c | 21,100$15,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.41 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 15c | 20,930$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.05 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 19c | 20,223$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…8070backed No | 77c | 19,998$15,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 80c | 19,071$15,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…f8b2backed Yes | 3c | 18,638$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 18,443$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.26 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 21c | 17,568$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…1cacbacked Yes | 12c | 17,148$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 77c | 17,000$13,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.18 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe835…9dccbacked Yes | 0c | 16,715$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 12c | 16,617$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 17c | 16,352$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.81 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…c17cbacked Yes | 14c | 16,285$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 77c | 15,858$12,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.43 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…3260backed No | 79c | 15,733$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.73 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…aa4dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,717$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 73c | 15,329$11,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.16 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,129$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 15,016$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed No | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…73ccbacked No | 75c | 14,899$11,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 17c | 14,524$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…a9ccbacked No | 79c | 14,189$11,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 14c | 14,146$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.45 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242a…2b01backed Yes | 31c | 13,524$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…ab97backed Yes | 10c | 13,237$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 80c | 12,718$10,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 1c | 12,705$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…6257backed Yes | 1c | 12,662$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 69c | 12,345$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 12c | 12,243$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…0c31backed Yes | 27c | 12,069$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…76f4backed Yes | 25c | 12,004$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…4d8bbacked No | 74c | 12,000$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…4c14backed No | 70c | 12,000$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 18c | 12,000$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6c6bbacked No | 75c | 11,811$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…cc77backed Yes | 4c | 11,110$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…434ebacked Yes | 32c | 11,015$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 76c | 10,822$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.17 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…1b02backed No | 71c | 10,462$7,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 67c | 10,446$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed No | 62c | 10,264$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…518fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,225$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…d94abacked Yes | 30c | 10,057$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…461abacked Yes | 1c | 10,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.55 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…0841backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 13c | 9,965$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.08 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e5a4backed No | 78c | 9,919$7,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…23a3backed Yes | 13c | 9,467$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…90e6backed Yes | 22c | 9,243$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Yes | 16c | 9,004$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…2f93backed Yes | 1c | 8,966$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Yes | 12c | 8,853$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed Yes | 6c | 8,814$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 72c | 8,699$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.26 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Yes | 24c | 8,592$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 66c | 8,360$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 14c | 8,346$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.27 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 28c | 8,341$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…d07fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,283$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 70c | 8,034$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 12c | 8,000$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.