TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa941…ec2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
595
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Boxing at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT51160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 511 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.32
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,069.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$368
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,568
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,942.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$1,230.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$3,520.31
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,701.85
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,259.98
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.48
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$2,128.98
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$1,488.09
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,784.65
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$1,079.97
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,560
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,034.98
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Showing 25 of 511 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT5362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$660
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$1,061.83
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$352.76
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.54
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$86.78
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$127.36
Will Terrance McKinney win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.75
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.94
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$702
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.64
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$181.2
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.41
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.2%+$330
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$174
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,039.99
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$652.92
UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$130
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$182
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$33
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,900.21
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,584.5
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$6,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,391.81
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$432
Will XRP reach $3.40 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$244.6
Ethereum all time high by August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$80
Ethereum all time high before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$180
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+143.7%+$1,271.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$595.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$242.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.2%+$462.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$1,076.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$312.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.