Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc969cb252af1842b5de6a3edd0557835e7a6a7e737cae320b6bae6faccf35715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,745,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,381,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,745,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 22c | 180,320$39,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,048.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 130,089$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.74 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 111,755$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.4 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…f955backed Yes | 16c | 100,432$16,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,418.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 70,290$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.72 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 11c | 69,963$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 80c | 50,904$40,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.57 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…eed5backed Yes | 18c | 50,490$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…8b7bbacked Yes | 1c | 46,940$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…f79bbacked Yes | 9c | 46,660$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…94edbacked No | 75c | 37,929$28,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 10c | 29,270$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 80c | 24,225$19,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…7762backed Yes | 17c | 23,216$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…2966backed Yes | 12c | 21,562$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 9c | 21,305$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 13c | 21,275$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 7c | 21,189$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.4 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 9c | 21,065$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 8c | 20,916$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.71 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 12c | 20,311$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…92a8backed Yes | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 12c | 17,815$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 16,366$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 4c | 16,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 13c | 16,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 14,975$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…76f4backed Yes | 17c | 14,820$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Yes | 7c | 14,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…7adbbacked Yes | 18c | 13,595$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 77c | 13,563$10,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.15 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 76c | 13,427$10,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 4c | 13,404$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.83 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…9af6backed Yes | 9c | 13,379$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…434ebacked Yes | 23c | 13,133$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…d117backed Yes | 15c | 12,768$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4054…e6ccbacked Yes | 8c | 12,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b149backed Yes | 9c | 11,992$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…505bbacked No | 76c | 11,550$8,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.37 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 11,412$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4ee8backed Yes | 15c | 11,056$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…c129backed Yes | 10c | 10,659$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 10,653$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.88 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…f893backed Yes | 14c | 10,451$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 4c | 10,304$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…ab97backed Yes | 21c | 10,214$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…4b8bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,181$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,147$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.07 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…fef0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…0841backed Yes | 0c | 9,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…73efbacked Yes | 2c | 9,834$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…ea02backed Yes | 10c | 9,510$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 12c | 9,146$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.47 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…aef6backed Yes | 16c | 8,876$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…482bbacked Yes | 12c | 8,725$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 77c | 8,674$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…aa4dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,571$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…a0f5backed Yes | 6c | 8,003$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…94cbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,598$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…25eebacked Yes | 0c | 7,485$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…29b7backed Yes | 16c | 7,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,000$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.64 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes | 10c | 6,466$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 7c | 6,373$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…fe80backed Yes | 15c | 6,326$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…266ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,315$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…6c15backed Yes | 0c | 6,197$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…0066backed Yes | 21c | 6,092$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…84b9backed Yes | 2c | 6,086$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Yes | 0c | 6,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…c17cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,000$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…287abacked No | 77c | 6,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…1010backed Yes | 10c | 5,984$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…d8cebacked No | 79c | 5,846$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…8e0dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,693$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…6b4bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d8…ff3bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,033$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…290fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…2695backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…e1a1backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5854backed Yes | 24c | 4,957$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…8a8abacked Yes | 19c | 4,930$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…6029backed Yes | 0c | 4,583$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 80c | 4,500$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8030backed No | 79c | 4,489$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 10c | 4,445$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Yes | 11c | 4,400$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…af2abacked Yes | 16c | 4,344$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xface…0572backed Yes | 22c | 4,315$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…7387backed Yes | 17c | 4,230$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…4e2dbacked No | 80c | 4,200$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes | 8c | 4,167$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.