Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c08beafa73308625ad24e270e44d9edd634585f2424eea8df262a05a2337613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,995,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,314,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,995,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 77c | 319,157$247,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,961.05 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…1015backed Yes | 5c | 296,975$14,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,856.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 276,996$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.79 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 5c | 221,869$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.12 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…f955backed Yes | 23c | 200,111$45,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,800.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 63c | 176,967$110,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,331.6 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 53c | 147,200$77,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,585.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 78c | 140,514$110,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,386.59 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 25c | 135,092$34,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,252.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 15c | 108,868$16,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,651.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed No | 52c | 97,781$51,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,775.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 63c | 95,560$59,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,773.13 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…eed5backed Yes | 43c | 94,862$40,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,531.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 93,782$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.32 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 78,245$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.2 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…b089backed Yes | 10c | 66,066$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed No | 78c | 60,766$47,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 54c | 60,329$32,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,638.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,259$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.8 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 27c | 55,500$14,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,784.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Yes | 45c | 53,607$23,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,983.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 74c | 44,936$33,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,559.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 43,162$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.24 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…461abacked Yes | 2c | 41,460$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…8b7bbacked Yes | 1c | 40,939$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b9b1backed No | 72c | 40,466$29,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 15c | 38,293$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.68 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes | 16c | 36,386$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 36,010$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 14c | 35,858$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 46c | 35,676$16,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,269.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…484ebacked Yes | 16c | 34,855$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…7df3backed Yes | 2c | 33,178$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…94edbacked No | 53c | 33,000$17,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,434.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…e511backed Yes | 38c | 32,224$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 24c | 32,205$7,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,584.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…e9b9backed No | 77c | 30,177$23,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…b7fabacked Yes | 2c | 30,000$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…ab97backed Yes | 8c | 29,062$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…3afabacked Yes | 23c | 26,253$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 20c | 26,084$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 66c | 25,425$16,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696.94 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cab…8bd1backed Yes | 12c | 24,075$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 23,424$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…296abacked Yes | 38c | 23,054$8,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,661.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…78bcbacked No | 48c | 22,161$10,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,624.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 72c | 22,053$15,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090.83 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Yes | 0c | 21,652$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…2aadbacked Yes | 11c | 21,435$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…73ccbacked No | 80c | 20,654$16,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked No | 76c | 20,261$15,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.34 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 26c | 20,252$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.85 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed No | 47c | 20,173$9,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 39c | 20,037$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 17c | 20,000$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…9bccbacked No | 75c | 19,988$14,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed No | 80c | 19,984$15,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 13c | 19,627$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 66c | 19,586$12,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.52 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 54c | 19,452$10,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…3260backed No | 76c | 19,314$14,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.63 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 32c | 19,006$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 1c | 18,788$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…505bbacked No | 58c | 18,600$10,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed No | 56c | 18,562$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…43b3backed Yes | 32c | 18,000$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 37c | 17,787$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,756$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 48c | 17,517$8,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 58c | 17,501$10,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 73c | 17,426$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…ce61backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…6b86backed Yes | 48c | 16,665$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 25c | 16,653$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.7 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed No | 39c | 16,532$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…aa4dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 11c | 16,316$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.95 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 25c | 16,000$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…af40backed Yes | 51c | 14,532$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…2583backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…08a7backed Yes | 0c | 14,490$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…e3c3backed Yes | 0c | 14,375$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…35e6backed Yes | 29c | 14,235$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…49bcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,225$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…eb55backed Yes | 0c | 14,105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…0432backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…6b23backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…a49dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…4739backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…9fb2backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…8d9abacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4a…3325backed Yes | 0c | 13,997$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…d484backed Yes | 0c | 13,995$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 30c | 13,951$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…a4d5backed Yes | 0c | 13,870$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77af…2beebacked Yes | 0c | 13,830$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…9128backed Yes | 0c | 13,590$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…14cfbacked Yes | 0c | 13,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.