TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3969…6e2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
526
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
30

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.2%+$79.28
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.89
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,021.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27,147.75
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,675.92
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,729.36
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,675.9
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500.8
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,584.57
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,774.32
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.14
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290.63
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.1%+$11,730.19
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$821.77
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.52
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.1%+$18.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,939.82
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,578.71
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,750.2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$873.03
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$7,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,473.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,047.27
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$482.88
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239.41
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.67
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,822Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+245.1%+$4,465.01
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.3
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.1%+$84.95
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+260%+$114.08
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.63
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.95
US forces in Yemen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.58
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.42
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$829.85
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$621.1
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.64
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.38
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.79
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.5
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT4814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,042.87
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$8,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$8,353.32
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Another Canada election called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.84
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,749.33
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,413.05
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,492Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+111%+$3,875.38
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.51
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.53
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$425.12
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,495.64
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$678.79
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+1,894.2%+$498.66
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$104.82
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.58
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.18
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+3,545.8%+$25,770.41
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$74.87
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$163.54
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$161.59
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,782.23
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$92.79
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$340.45
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.34
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.2%+$1,699.12
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,717.54
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$501.79
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.7
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$137.73
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$192.16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$115.97
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$186.53
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$92.33
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,536.46
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$83.13
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.12
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+82.3%+$400.02
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$653.44
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.86
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.77
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+408.1%+$362.34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.88
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.63
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.84
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+377.3%+$835.71
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+477.1%+$729.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,607.32
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+208.8%+$8,637.07
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.12
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,629.56
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+125.9%+$15.99
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,675.08
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$645.5
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$429.25
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,577.06
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.01
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.01
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.99
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.68
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.73
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$534.99
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.27
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.67
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.97
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.83
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.79
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.88
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.64
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid+167.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.14
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$83.32
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.49
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.18
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+5,103.2%+$835.15
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.16
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.81
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+360%+$70.75
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.83
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+117.6%+$15.86
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.44
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$168.89
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.63
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.39
Will the New York Jets win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-72.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.19
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$12.1
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.46
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.29
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$460.9
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.72
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.65
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.39
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.93
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.89
Will Israel strike 4 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$71.43
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.5
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.26
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.41
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+2,558.9%+$1,966.08
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.06
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.49
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+62.2%+$8.87
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.91
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,609.31
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$253.4
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$249.51
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al-Hilal win Saudi Professional League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$90.95
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$12.2
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+198.1%+$28.46
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.72
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$38.53
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.9%+$313.56
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.8%+$43.89
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.6
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.16
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.35
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$327.12
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$86.11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$304.9
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.6%+$284.97
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,560.38
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$85.59
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$6.4
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-86.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.74
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.73
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$359.44
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$164.99
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,941.83
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,380.41
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,925.56
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.48
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.73
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$514.52
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$113.1
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-78.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.09
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Russia coup attempt in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.74
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+136.3%+$140.43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.02
Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.05
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.63
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.58
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+110.7%+$51.09
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$130.66
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$619.28
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$201.31
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,253.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$17.21
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+79%+$12.41
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Oeiras 3: Felix Gill vs Roman Safiullinbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$41.08
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rochabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+149.5%+$26.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.56
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.11
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.96
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.41
Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.04
Will Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.24
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.85
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306.24
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-84.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.58
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.61
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.57
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.35
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.94
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.27
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.83
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.77
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.7
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.28
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.81
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.35
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.8
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$447.23
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$236.09
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.59
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$325.07
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$83.33
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.18
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+155.4%+$245.36
Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-79.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$14.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.81
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.39
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.78
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.92
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+419%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+419%+$65.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$935.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.