Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20464980a22be54736ef3fa1fff8e1ea3f0d0699f63d24a723ca0b414a97a177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,981,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,575,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,981,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes | 2c | 75,000$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 7c | 67,613$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 9c | 63,918$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…4feabacked Yes | 1c | 57,667$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 13c | 52,133$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 4c | 44,401$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 4c | 43,060$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 3c | 38,757$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.73 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 37,715$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 33,011$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.14 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 12c | 32,928$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.77 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…b2a3backed Yes | 2c | 31,852$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 3c | 31,470$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…c7c8backed Yes | 2c | 27,941$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…9eb8backed Yes | 2c | 26,189$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe6…a0cabacked Yes | 2c | 24,818$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 23,755$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 3c | 21,032$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 8c | 21,000$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 2c | 20,640$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd4…4095backed Yes | 2c | 19,668$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 19,455$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.29 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…5c34backed Yes | 1c | 19,115$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 0c | 18,591$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…5880backed Yes | 1c | 17,147$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 16c | 16,258$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.74 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 2c | 16,000$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 3c | 15,127$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…1ce7backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 16c | 14,728$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 2c | 12,726$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…ed49backed Yes | 1c | 12,299$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 2c | 12,247$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 7c | 11,807$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 2c | 10,101$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…ab88backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…58c6backed Yes | 1c | 9,592$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 1c | 8,906$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 8,839$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 15c | 8,091$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 19c | 8,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Yes | 1c | 7,935$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,774$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…2422backed Yes | 3c | 7,703$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…56b9backed Yes | 2c | 7,673$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 4c | 7,023$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…b8f1backed Yes | 2c | 7,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…b1babacked Yes | 5c | 6,746$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 16c | 6,501$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.61 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 3c | 6,190$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 6,155$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 18c | 5,982$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,555$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,309$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,675$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 12c | 4,597$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 4,514$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 14c | 4,416$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,389$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked Yes | 2c | 4,330$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 20c | 4,318$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 2c | 4,029$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 15c | 3,750$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 4c | 3,745$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,719$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,640$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 19c | 3,477$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 1c | 3,284$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 13c | 3,100$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.63 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,078$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,969$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 11c | 2,650$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 2,412$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…6512backed Yes | 5c | 2,220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b42backed Yes | 3c | 2,115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Yes | 5c | 2,115$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…6dbabacked Yes | 5c | 2,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…36f0backed Yes | 2c | 2,019$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…a381backed Yes | 1c | 2,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3834backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,897$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,867$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,859$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…171bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,836$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…1615backed Yes | 1c | 1,735$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.