Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a161fce05c462bbe64fdf80b83f720406150b11ae2d35c94907ac3d0eace80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,110,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,362,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,110,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 10c | 166,033$16,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,411.23 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 9c | 94,683$8,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,439.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 9c | 92,068$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,339.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed Yes | 9c | 85,689$7,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,561.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 7c | 77,476$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.37 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 8c | 63,999$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 6c | 43,263$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.94 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 9c | 41,494$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…df3bbacked Yes | 6c | 37,500$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 6c | 31,859$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 4c | 30,776$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 7c | 26,764$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.79 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 14c | 23,745$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 11c | 22,264$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 15c | 19,265$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…754cbacked Yes | 1c | 17,293$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 13c | 16,963$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 6c | 16,554$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.18 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 8c | 16,373$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.35 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 7c | 16,254$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.74 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 5c | 15,236$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 6c | 15,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 10c | 14,992$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 5c | 14,292$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 5c | 14,215$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 13,149$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.22 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 9c | 13,123$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 18c | 12,630$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 11c | 12,168$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…19fabacked Yes | 13c | 11,325$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 18c | 11,136$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.14 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 6c | 10,474$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 3c | 9,410$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…9518backed Yes | 5c | 8,300$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 7c | 8,280$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 9c | 8,123$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 9c | 7,558$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.41 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 13c | 7,179$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 14c | 7,025$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 6,692$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.41 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…dfa4backed Yes | 15c | 6,686$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 8c | 6,520$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 7c | 6,303$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 6c | 6,296$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,490$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 8c | 5,428$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,175$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 8c | 5,066$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…8fc2backed Yes | 10c | 4,661$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 8c | 4,622$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed Yes | 6c | 4,545$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…2e43backed Yes | 10c | 4,461$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 16c | 4,336$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fb…2c13backed Yes | 8c | 4,278$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d6…1aeebacked Yes | 6c | 4,192$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed Yes | 5c | 4,111$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 14c | 3,914$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.24 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,638$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 3,536$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 8c | 3,329$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed Yes | 5c | 3,100$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…e63bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,857$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed Yes | 10c | 2,800$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…5f44backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 5c | 2,614$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,555$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…3f9ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,442$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 5c | 2,408$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…dc4fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,301$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 2,297$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…7162backed Yes | 9c | 2,160$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,122$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…3bb6backed Yes | 9c | 2,119$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,105$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed Yes | 14c | 2,070$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed Yes | 5c | 2,054$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 8c | 2,039$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…394abacked Yes | 10c | 2,018$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…4b5ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,982$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…c1edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…c386backed Yes | 5c | 1,878$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,764$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c60…7469backed Yes | 6c | 1,763$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,758$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…a25dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,668$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,601$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 6c | 1,532$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 9c | 1,524$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 7c | 1,475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.