TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26a9…f6b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Movies, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 52 out of 100; worst Music at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.91
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.27
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.13
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$67
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+3,979.7%+$1,605.31
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.21
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+357.1%+$5,275.48
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.71
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.73
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$503.96
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will "Hamnet" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98.63
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.93
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+48.3%+$237.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.86
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+77%+$923.59
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.52
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$242.36
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$967.45
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$104.79
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.34
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.08
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$57
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$505.42
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$704.33
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$203.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$428.01
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,028.42
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+464.3%+$239.87
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+95%+$621.57
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$808.5
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.01
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will "Defying Gravity - Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$383.49
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$363.02
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$418.47
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$191.16
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 5 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.82
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+143.7%+$393.86
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.42
Will Teddy Swims win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54.9
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.32
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+111%+$15.78
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.