TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,580,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,500,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,580,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,846 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed No66c259,408$171,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,795.341788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed No57c143,084$81,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,304.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef83…96ecbacked Yes35c101,430$35,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,20040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed No65c69,454$45,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,095.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…4207backed Yes37c50,976$18,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,777425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No62c48,626$30,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,489.362733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No62c42,165$26,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,975.62763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No55c42,019$23,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,698.896328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes38c41,719$15,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,870.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No62c35,079$21,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,312.087222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed No65c34,212$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,011.791216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf784…ab48backed Yes40c33,435$13,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,395.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes41c29,009$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes29c28,033$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,052.613514.3%5 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffad…83bbbacked Yes38c27,353$10,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,361.5633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c17…83c8backed No56c26,657$15,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,616.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No64c26,177$16,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,402.221291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd80…c73cbacked Yes35c26,038$9,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,221.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes39c24,000$9,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,259.982615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes40c23,384$9,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,278.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes39c23,305$9,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,052.56540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes40c23,225$9,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,341.1445738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x840a…ef52backed Yes35c22,706$7,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,947.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed No63c22,219$13,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,221.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes46c21,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f8…7448backed No64c21,551$13,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.181435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed No62c21,000$12,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,010742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes49c20,938$10,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,234.131330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes34c20,424$6,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8612626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes44c20,182$8,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,892.021315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No53c19,216$10,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,946.026453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No57c18,926$10,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,205.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes36c17,335$6,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,220.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ac…1af2backed Yes38c16,977$6,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,459.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd60…0ca3backed Yes45c16,910$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,639.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No57c16,000$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,869.9310426.9%28 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9010…32a0backed Yes39c15,821$6,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,168.25128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a1…fb90backed Yes37c15,484$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed No65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc8…63f2backed Yes38c14,835$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,595.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked No71c14,546$10,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.332948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes35c13,670$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.452133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa20…9262backed Yes44c13,528$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3d…0beebacked Yes37c13,207$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+244.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c7…28ccbacked No62c12,999$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,969.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c6…b472backed Yes34c12,936$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes40c12,783$5,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,08320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0061…548ebacked Yes42c12,433$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked Yes41c12,324$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No56c12,255$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.182853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes35c12,237$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.374734%16 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No56c12,132$6,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes26c12,049$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.453231.3%10 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No60c11,998$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.841921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e3…f4a0backed No65c11,483$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a7…88c8backed Yes42c11,464$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…0279backed No75c11,441$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked Yes39c11,049$4,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,281.531040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed No69c10,909$7,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3489…7fffbacked Yes0c10,711$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes36c10,024$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.648923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes6c10,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57526312.9%34 W · 229 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No62c9,955$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.246839.7%27 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked No64c9,696$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.532548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No60c9,678$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.4625731.5%81 W · 176 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1835…37c5backed Yes36c9,600$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e8…83c5backed No64c9,600$6,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fe…f6e7backed Yes36c9,333$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes40c9,332$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.28122.2%18 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe657…b24fbacked Yes35c9,000$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,17320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked No64c9,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed No62c8,993$5,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.891735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64df…ab80backed Yes42c8,906$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd024…35c0backed No67c8,902$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes33c8,636$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e5…91f9backed Yes37c8,633$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked No63c8,400$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes11c8,279$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a9…9080backed Yes37c8,260$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…639ebacked Yes26c8,227$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.46119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e8…755abacked Yes52c8,188$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,285.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c71…5176backed Yes37c8,123$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Yes46c8,000$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.572236.4%8 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed No62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f2…a981backed Yes36c7,937$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed No61c7,432$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a1…f3f7backed Yes28c7,203$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked No63c7,142$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.172839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked No77c7,102$5,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes26c7,081$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.4519011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Yes39c7,051$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf11…cd6bbacked No66c6,819$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked No58c6,804$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.491136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b30…c01abacked Yes44c6,771$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…78bdbacked Yes37c6,757$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6427…e4f5backed Yes40c6,740$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes34c6,722$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes47c6,421$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a8…6c09backed Yes38c6,403$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.